Baum

Snowin to beat the band. RAP>Euro

is that you?

it's been a long hard road....again

you mean I chose the cuttter we've all been expecting which will leave me with front end rain, a dry slot, and a back end snowshower? Well the goal was to break the SE trend.

i'll trade locations with you

ground truths?

wind is howling I can smell the snow, but can't see it. weenies lament.

I'm I -88 and 355 may as well ride this thing until the bitter end.

refusing to give up the ghost. How does it translate to radar presentation and ground truths to the southwest?

my week in slow motion: Satuday: I'm in for 10" Sunday: I'll take 8" Monday: 8" still looking good Tuesday: Lock for 6" Wednesday: I'll take my 4" and run Gameday: can i just get an inch or two of wind blown paste to cover wretched snow piles.

agree.

going to throw my hat in to the ring and start a thread. It's been a while. Also been awhile since we've seen a sw low eject and strengthen. Well. this ain't it either. Rather majority of models show an overrunning moisture feed over a decent baroclinic zone producing snow/mix/ and rain . As of now main focus on northern tier of forum, but let's see where it goes. Anything to bring an about face to the southeast and weaker games we've seen forever. Or as a pro who shall remain nameless puts it: "It’s not even all that much of an overrunning event, but more-so the development of an actual storm system due to the interaction of a wave ejecting from the Baja and another wave with the main trough coming through the West." either way, let's hope for a good outcome.

Izzi did a helluva job subtley trying to walk the chicago zones out of the warnings and adjusted snowfall amounts. Be something if the original 3-6" call came back in play. Tough job.

i'm just trying to avoid a shut out, and Alek's spiking the football.

eh I've seen far bigger collapses in the days when your only resource was 312-976-1212(NWS Chicago) and the local TV Mets who were conditioned to only forecast 1-3,2-4, and 4 inches or more. Many times waiting on the snowstorm, looking at the sky for the storm that was never coming. Nowadays, when you have one model all in, and 2or 3 all out you know the game can go either way. It was pretty clear two days ago when the american models burped where we were headed. Real hilarity, is wife's school called a snow day yesterday at 4pm. As a kid, it would have taken 20" for me to sniff an off day...like the 1979 blizzard....and even that took until 7 am.

checks in. F'n Alek. checks out.

^ Great write up CStorm love the mid range analysis. That said, your thread starting days need to take a break. No offense. Hell, last threads I started were in 2014 and I couldn't miss. Might be time to come out of retirement.

remember when you were hoping for a SE trend?

LOT update:

finally some optimism.

from now on all threads should be titled " date possible shit storm".

no doubt. The 0 call is back in play. Those hoping for a flicker of hope for a late swing in Chicago metro are on life support. It happens. Worse, as it fades SE it becomes less consequential to those in the sweet spot.

His call was 0 from 5 days ago. He should be dancing given him shows him getting 3". Lesson for all; set your expectations low and you won't be disappointed. Oddly, that 18Z looks better for areas further NW in Chicago metro.

LOT increased totals for it's southern zones, and upgraded Cental cook Co. to a WSW. Not much change in actual forecast wording so not sure the point.