Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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famous last words.
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model of choice.
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LOT honing in on MBY in this mornings AFD: HOWEVER. ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN KEYING IN ON AN AREA OF HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON THE NORTH SIDE, POSSIBLY TIED TO A NARROW DEFORMATION AXIS/MID-LEVEL FGEN AND AIDED BY SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT. call: 5" a lock. miss the RC/IZZI tag team on this event.
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good chunk of this board loves a good squall line.
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you'd have killed for this event 30 days ago. Your lack of appreciation going to come back to haunt.
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never good when 12Z models are rolling and the storm thread is mere banter.
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we really need to add a pissed off/jealous emoji on this forum to comment on posts
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typical February. Two days after a round of thunderstorms and 50 degrees going to get a high ratio/low moistrure 3-5" lake enhanced event.
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you'll still be polishing that turd on Easter sunday most likely for a little frosting to add some sweetness. enjoy.
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rapidly running out of time to make this thing anymore than a run of the mill 2-4 inch event.
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thread police are going to issue you a ticket.
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given how nice it feels out today and with the snow all gone we've entered 6" or bust season
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when i started this thread I was hoping to finally avoid a SE shift little did I know it was going to become a Superior Special
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let's face it if it's not going to snow let's get right to warm and wet. But we all know it's not ever that easy. Especially, with that cold body of water next to us.
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THOUGH UNSURPRISINGLY, IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW TOTALS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL END UP OCCURRING SOUTHEAST OF OUR CWA CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE LOW. -LOT PM AFD
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bout right. maybe we can see better trends in coming days to do better. after this event pretty much switching gears to spring mode irregardless of the weather.
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fixed the SE trend problems here: "WITH THE FURTHER NORTH SOLUTION THAN 24 HOURS AGO" even got a Thorm mention in the forecast.
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maybe it's a good thing this event doesn't have a model showing a swath of 20" somewhere 6 days out.
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do you mean we all get the shaft?
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wait until Thursday.
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welp. I may have ended the SE trend with this thread: TO SUM UP THIS STORM, THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF SEEING THE HIGHEST (4-8") OF SNOW LOOKS TO BE NORTH OF I-90, WITH LESSER SNOW AMOUNTS BUT AN INCREASING ICE POTENTIAL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE. GIVEN THE RECENT FLUCTUATIONS IN THE MODEL PROGS OF THIS SYSTEM, THERE IS STILL A MODEST DEGREE OF SPREAD IN THIS FORECAST.- Lacrosse, WI
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I'm thinking Mchenry snow, Cary, and Cyclone might say otherwise. And it already has that look.
