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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    The GFS has developed the same bad trait as the Euro, but of course, what do we expect beyond 300 hrs..
  2. stormy
    Look at this on the 18 z Det. GFS!!
  3. stormy
    A secondary thrust of very cold air will result in highs only in the upper 30's Tuesday and Wednesday for areas west of the BR.
  4. stormy
    I received 2.10 inches of rain last Tuesday. This is wonderful but a fraction of what we need to bust the drought. 2 inches of rain cannot wipe out 10 - 15 inch deficits............................ Only a wet winter can solve our serious problems.
  5. stormy
    NO
  6. stormy
    That didn't last long.
  7. stormy
    After a wonderful rain yesterday, the drought goon returns for the next 15 days.
  8. stormy
    2.07" at my place, several stations in Charlottesville reported 4.0 - 4.5 inches!!
  9. stormy
    Very cold like 76-77 tends to be dry because southward suppression thrives in that pattern.
  10. stormy
    Sounds like 1957................................. Wow, that was 66 years ago!
  11. stormy
    1.25"........................... Most since July....................................
  12. stormy
    Yes, and that can be dangerous to those looking forward to a Nino wet winter. Which only happens 43% of the time in my locale.
  13. stormy
    The latest CANSIPS paints that perfectly for December.
  14. stormy
    A little while ago I said that I would look at driest Nino winters since 1980 and snowfall for the Valley. The driest was 87-88 with 64% of normal precipitation (12.20"). I received 18 inches of snow which is 75% of normal snowfall for that winter.
  15. stormy
    As I said Sunday morning, a few changes would give many in our region 4 - 8 inches of snow tomorrow. The NWS establishes a base of support with a WWA with the retreating cold air source and LP into the Ohio Valley. A terrible early season synoptic that chirps. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=4 Miles SSE Churchville VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1779&lon=-79.1425
  16. stormy
    22 degrees at 6 am.
  17. stormy
    Only a few changes would give us snow on Tuesday. Place that New Hampshire high over Superior. Track the Arkansas low to southeasterrn N.C. instead of southern Ohio. Presto, 4-8 inches of snow.
  18. stormy
    I received 4 inches on Thanksgiving eve in 1989.
  19. stormy
    You're a smart person!
  20. stormy
    I think your right..................... I'll take it no matter where it came from!!!! Of course, I'll believe it when its in the gauge.
  21. stormy
    Last Wednesday at 5:41 pm I said in this thread that I sensed the atmosphere was beginning to feel El Nino and moisture influx into our area would improve over the next 5 - 15 days. The latest CPC thoughts give Virginia especially southwest of D.C. 2 inches of rain Tuesday/Wednesday. The latest 18z deterministic GFS gives my area through D.C. 2 - 3 inches during this time-frame. Was my call 3 days ago blind luck or divine intervention??
  22. stormy
    You need a Cyclone Rake! Mine makes short work of leaves and holds 44 bushels before you have to dump. Price is reasonable for the work they do. Several sizes ranging from $1500 - $2000.
  23. stormy
    Wow!!! That was an hilarious blast!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  24. stormy
    I am sensing that the atmosphere is beginning to feel El Nino.. The suppressed southeast system will steal moisture from Friday's potential as a little more northward influence allows greater stealing capability but this may be a positive signal for 5 - 15 days into the future. I predict that moisture influx will improve over the tristate region beginning next week just in time for my month ago Thanksgiving predicted beginning Nino influence.
  25. stormy
    Suppressed southeast low pressure robs the moisture from Friday night frontal. 18z NAM12 now zero. Only 14% of normal first half of November at .24". Will do a study of nino winter snowfalls with less than 50% of normal precipitation. It will be bleak.
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