Brian5671

72/67 here-cloudy

That is true...while it is a taste of autumn especially compared to what we've had, it's an island of cool in a sea of warmth.

and the heat next week likely won't have 75 degree dewpoints....

BUST. Models have backed off that with the slower fronts-showers/storms overnight but nothing big.

some of those cool August forecasts out there are in big trouble....

not sure if the EURO is on crack but it dumps 5 inches of rain in and around NYC on Sunday

WARM AMO I am thinking contributes...will be interesting to see what happens when the flip to the cold phase occurs...

same ol 100 burnt out songs over and over and over. Worse than a classic rock station...

Holiday tunes...

whoopdee do- a day of 90 in September....it's over as far as the big long lasting heatwave by about 9/1 or so....clock's ticking...days are shortening...soon we'll be singing Xmas tunes...

the "backbreaker front" usually the first sign that fall is right around the corner.

Those record SST's doing the dirty work....

parts of NJ have had 5-8 inches of rain this morning...LOL no bust there

Just a crazy pattern this week. Modeling all of the place for today-RGEM and EURO the wettest, Euro has 6 inches over N NJ by tonight

models show it redeveloping later today, but interestingly the action comes from the SE and moves NW....some sun here currently....

you can see that the boundary has sunk south-ACY east...that should pave the way for a drier start to the day tomorrow.

has to be one of the wettest 30 day periods for sure-since this pattern started around 7/20 there's been no let up

RGEM spreads the love to areas that missed this morning's action-through tomorrow AM:

Missed the big totals here...amazing some are close to 3-4 inches on the first batch alone!

looks drier tomorrow-upton mentions the front sags south a bit after the short wave passes but before then it's off to the races...

Wet weekend on tap: The mesoscale predictability of where the heaviest convective rainfall axis will be is still low at this time, but potential exists somewhere across Central CT/Central LI westward into Lower HUD/NE NJ/NYC metro. In this region, threat for locally torrential rain and localized swaths of flash flooding exist late tonight into Saturday afternoon, with shortwave lift encountering increasingly deep moisture of 1-2 +std PWATs, apparent instability gradient, and a focus for development/SW-NE training along a stalling frontal boundary.

49 eh? That would feel nice right about now...

Same for here. NAM really dumps on us over the weekend...

Looks like a couple dry days and then back to the unsettled/chance of showers/storms each day pattern...

depends if you mix out or not...sometimes dews drop as you go through the day....my davis says 80 DP here-probably a bit high