Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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it's tough when we see the HECS potential and then it gets taken away. But really need to see that within 48 hrs to get truly on board. Model runs of 60-72 hrs are almost never the final solutions unless it's a cutter LOL
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I also figure I can change back tonight or tomorrow if this is a whiff. I like the whole no change fee thing makes travel alot easier.
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had to move my flight out of LGA to Sunday-too risky to go Saturday given the model spread-one time I left it be and got stuck for 15 hrs there
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I think the big solutions are mostly off the table except SE New England. I'd take a wind whipped 4-8 and run
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Sometimes the outlier is the correct solution, it has had roughly the same output for 10 plus runs. Big 12z runs today.
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another run another solution....verbatim crappy for most of our area with north winds bringing in dry air
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Western outlier. Needs support from something else
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most of the heavy precip is SE New England though -
even if the euro is good-need to see something else agree with it-for now it's an western outlier
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the lack of atlantic blocking too-both AO and NAO are positive.
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it's tough when you're relying on a capture...usually happens further N and E than expected. The good news is we are 2 days out instead of 6 hrs.
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nightmares of Jan 2015 fooled again by the Euro and Nam
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if this comes back it would be a Boxing day type miracle but that one had blocking. +NAO/+AO here.
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has Kuchera ever been right? IT's the weenie model printout like the Euro control
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Kuchera? LOL. If you do 10-1 it's slightly SE from 12z
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the trends are terrible for this. Not gospel but today sucked.
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GFS barely gets any precip into NYC
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same trends everything is leaking east....
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I should have phrased that better-new data meaning something came ashore that was not previously sampled.
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I wonder if they are getting some new data....
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something like that. I think NYC got an inch or two in the end. Had about 10 out here but a far cry from 18-24 predicted
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I stopped doing that years ago-need my sleep-just log on here first thing in the morning and read 5 posts and that's enough to tell where it's going lol
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yep but all guidance has moved east today-until that stops.....
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I sure did-who wouldn't be excited by a solution like that?!?!?
