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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    1.1 gets BDR To 40 so another 40 plus year to tack onto this impressive run. And doubt we're done
  2. Brian5671
    the Friday snows are quite light with temps near 32-I don't see that adding up to much in urban areas at this time of year....
  3. Brian5671
    it's 3-5 north of NYC, 5-8 south
  4. Brian5671
    GFS 16 might be onto something. Let's see what the NAM does at 18z
  5. Brian5671
    yeah not much of an event north of NYC. Maybe some light snows into Friday
  6. Brian5671
    12z Euro looks south with the first batch-not much north of NYC maybe a couple inches
  7. Brian5671
    yeah I'll always root for snow but if it turned 50 and sunny for a month after this storm I'd be fine with it. Even my kids are tired of the snowcover
  8. Brian5671
    7th inning for southern folks. gets harder and harder from here on out and forget it in about 4 weeks close to 40 inches here, another 6-8 will take me to 45, I'd be happy with that if that was it...
  9. Brian5671
    those maps are the inverse of each other-what little warmth there was in the 80's is where there is little cold now....odd
  10. Brian5671
    we're under 48 hrs out so it's not too far out of range....
  11. Brian5671
    tonight's cold will turn it all to cement....
  12. Brian5671
    51 here mostly sunny now.
  13. Brian5671
    yeah still have 4-6 inches OTG here even after all that rain....will be cement tonight with lows in the low 20's.
  14. Brian5671
    up to 45 here with peeks of sun. Warmest day in quite some time....
  15. Brian5671
    40 here. On and off heavy rain as the back edge approaches....still have solid snowcover
  16. Brian5671
    Same thing every time. Very hard to get a true ice storm for most parts of this subforum. Imagine last Sunday predicting this storm would be mostly heavy rain with embedded thunder and temps 45-55?
  17. Brian5671
    the airmass is stale and any left over cold will quickly be routed out. Would be another thing if temps were 15-20 this am....
  18. Brian5671
    given the way today is going it's not a bad call...
  19. Brian5671
    most of these advisories (except well inland) will be canceled fairly quickly....
  20. Brian5671
    33 here just had a light rain shower....
  21. Brian5671
    Storm track over Philly with a stale airmass won't lead to much ice for anyone if the NAM is right....heavy rains even if below freezing would not accrete that well.
  22. Brian5671
    New NAM is a flooding rainstorm for most here....
  23. Brian5671
    completely agree-it was 38 here today well above guidance. Unless you have a fresh source of cold air, any ZR will cause temps to rise to 32 and then just above. Also, moderate to heavy ZR will not accrete that well. IF you want a true ice storm you need temps holding in the 20's and light ZR for many hours.
  24. Brian5671
    when was the last time one verified? Seems difficult in many areas as the precip often turns to rain with temps just above freezing
  25. Brian5671
    mostly rain on today's runs....
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