Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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2009-10 likely had that
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If Friday is a rainstorm it will be a disappointment so far. Early model runs were good cold/some frozen events mid month on.....Northern areas did do ok last night but the souther half of the forum was mainly rain/white rain.
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HRRR regenerates some precip as we go through the eve.... -
coating on colder surfaces here
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always 10 days....
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13/14 too...although March was bone dry which stunk.
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overnight too which helps
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Tough in December w/o arctic air, Jan/Feb different story....
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That's a good look on the EPS-would be surprised if that doesn't deliver something.
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airmass is not great SW of NYC-probably mostly rain if that's the case
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I think it trends even further SW with that block
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A wet snow bomb would be fun for someone
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The good news is that -NAO/-AO in December is often followed by more bouts of blocking later in the winter. there are a few exceptions...89-90 it disappeared and never came back....
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Going to be a small window then...LOL. But yeah the xmas warmup is a tradition around here most years.
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Yep too far SE for Lake Effect and too far NW for noreasters.....
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yeah terrible model-usually misses any cold until it's on us.
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I would say the same here on the coast of CT-recent marginal events are alot of white rain or car toppers...Would that still be true 30 years ago?
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Not offered on Youtube TV-took me a year to realize it wasn't there lol
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Decembers in general that wiff in the snow dept are usually bad winters....there are exceptions of course...
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As long as it doesn't go on for an extra 10 days lol.
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low 60's for a couple of days....well if it ain't going to snow let it torch.
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just some flakes in the air here one time...that's it so far
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How often is there a decent typhoon in that area of the world in mid Dec?
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yeah, what was modeled end of Nov and early Dec is simply not there anymore....that's the problem-not being negative, it's reality.
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I think this is what has some down-this map is from 11/30 for valid date 12/13--looks like it was too fast in the end which makes sense-models always too fast for pattern changes and also too fast to break them down
