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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. That seems to be the main threat with this (hvy rains)-with so much time over land masses hard to see how it becomes a strong/windy storm.
  2. The PRE might be the biggest effect on us-the actual storm appears to recurve OTS
  3. Gets old. Hate to wish away summer but I'm looking forward to some cooler weather come September
  4. Just missed me to the north-could hear the rumbles but no rain here outside of a light shower overnight
  5. Onto August-models showing a cool shot in the heartland but seems like we will be on the edge of that at best...
  6. Kind of like monthly temp departures--every month is +2 around here.
  7. Part of the issue is that everyone went hysterical on the big season so the expectations are high...Even a busy season does not alway equate to landfalls... and the cold/snowy forecasts are a staple from certain forecasters-just have to see through the hype....Last winter even remotely cold snowy was 20-21...and even that was a great 3 week stretch and not the whole winter or anything close to it.
  8. Season doesn't really get going til August. That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.
  9. Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something
  10. Often seems that it ends up N and E of the initial forecasts as well...
  11. models are awful-the 12z 3K NAM-has nothing over eastern LI yet it's pouring
  12. That was so overhyped like 95% of tropical systems here.
  13. SE NJ always seems to be a hot spot for showers and T-storms.
  14. Steady rain has moved in here
  15. models all over the place with the placement of rains-RGEM has almost nothing while the 12K NAM is very wet
  16. Nice break from the soup today and give the AC a rest
  17. The break from the big heat was nice the last few days
  18. Took Upton a long time to reduce the rain chances-they stuck with a bullish forecast too long. We got an inch here Monday night but other than that almost nothing.
  19. models are terrible with this-they have none of action that's going on down by PHL
  20. 2 rain free weekends in a row!
  21. Radar doesnt look great for much today-looks south and north
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