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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Like clockwork to ruin April/May
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GFS is often warm in the LR. Only reason to buy into it is that the Euro and CMC agree with the heat this go around...
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warm water off the coast a contributor
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Let's see what actually happens...future runs could temper the heat or show more of an onshore flow-plus the remnants of Idalia are out there...summer trend has been for any heat on models to end up less than expected
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partly sunny here now 74
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Yep and you can see it's inhibiting the NW side a bit as it wraps in. Good news for FL as it may delay any quick strengthening and we are less than 18 hrs from landfall at this point.
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Definitely some dry air off to the S and W and getting pulled in a bit....
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September can be like that for sure especially if there's a lull in tropical activity...
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
In a warm winter like last year I would not be buying it-yet we saw the same maps week after week showing cold moving east for it to only end up trending warmer as we got closer.... -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
most of the big heat has stayed to our S and W the whole summer so yeah might be one day of 90 here... -
CMC is not a great model for tropical events
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Would be a shell of its former self by then
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Desperation time as summer winds down....
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models struggling with this one-some have very little for tomorrow now too..
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They are finally putting AC in the rest of the schools in my town..amazing they went that long tolerating hot starts/end of the school years...not much learning when the classroom is 90+
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Warming background state...shouldn't be a surprise....
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
There's not much point of stomping them anymore-it's like trying to put out a forest fire with a paper cup of water -
Models show a sharp right turn off the NC coast
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seems like warm sector rains rarely work out for most unless you bust out in sun right away
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imagine weenieing out over Day 15 maps that show 85 degrees....
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Not much here-models too far north with the rains...about .20 humid as we get warm sectored...
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rain ending here-models were too far north with the heavier rains-only about .25 at BDR and DXR
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
You are about 25 miles east of me. We fly out of HVN often it's very convenient. A little less snow out that way due to the greater influence of the open ocean east of LI but still decent compared to SE CT which often goes to rain first... -
imagine saying that last summer-I think we went 6-7 weeks here in between anything of consequence