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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. convection always difficult to forecast more than a few hrs out....
  2. The arctic has actually had a fairly cool summer. Agree on water temps though-they have kept us warm last few years...
  3. models wet through Sunday but it will be convective so hit/miss etc
  4. Yep I do the same...not sure what model it is or how they are made but they are basically no better than throwing a dart at a board.
  5. depends-I've seen people cancel their plans when there was a chance of PM storms then complained when they didn't materialize...those phone forecasts are the worst thing to happen to weather forecasting...people see a raindrop and think the whole day is gone...
  6. only saving grace here was a big 3-4 inch rainfall 7/3-4 otherwise it's been bone dry
  7. Epic bust here models had 3-4 inches...we got about .30 Can't make it up.... RGEM pulled the plug on the 18z run but others still had the big totals
  8. Flood watches up for tomorrow night region wide except LI
  9. Yep it was close. If that was a September storm (with warmer waters) vs early August, it might have happened...
  10. I agree-similar to the 6/24-6/28 event where it's mostly west of us
  11. Close to 6 inches here from the 5-6 storms from 5pm 7/3 to 5pm 7/4. Crazy flash flooding around town...
  12. incredible rains here.
  13. Strong line of storms on my doorstep...
  14. Rained again here this AM. Dry spell is over
  15. Wild storm with incredible CTG lightning with that. Not much rain but the 9pm batched dumped buckets on us...
  16. True. We've only had 2 90 degree days here and they were in April.
  17. today is anything but cool....
  18. Most of the day is rain free though....and not everyone will get one. Classic summertime weather.
  19. Eventually people will ignore the forecasts and start showing up....
  20. friends of ours postponed a BBQ today b/c of the forecast....oops
  21. The problem is most of the public doesn't understand probability forecasts-they see a bolt of lightning on the newscast and assume the day is shot...in reality, 90% of the day is rain free and decent.
  22. Upton's had big rains here for over a week and we have something like .25 to show for it....
  23. Another wiff here on the rains so far...amazing how we keep missing it all
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