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Everything posted by Brian5671
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convection always difficult to forecast more than a few hrs out....
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The arctic has actually had a fairly cool summer. Agree on water temps though-they have kept us warm last few years...
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models wet through Sunday but it will be convective so hit/miss etc
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Yep I do the same...not sure what model it is or how they are made but they are basically no better than throwing a dart at a board.
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depends-I've seen people cancel their plans when there was a chance of PM storms then complained when they didn't materialize...those phone forecasts are the worst thing to happen to weather forecasting...people see a raindrop and think the whole day is gone...
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only saving grace here was a big 3-4 inch rainfall 7/3-4 otherwise it's been bone dry
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Epic bust here models had 3-4 inches...we got about .30 Can't make it up.... RGEM pulled the plug on the 18z run but others still had the big totals
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Bust here. Less than .50
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Flood watches up for tomorrow night region wide except LI
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FIXED
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Yep it was close. If that was a September storm (with warmer waters) vs early August, it might have happened...
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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month
Brian5671 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I agree-similar to the 6/24-6/28 event where it's mostly west of us -
July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month
Brian5671 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Close to 6 inches here from the 5-6 storms from 5pm 7/3 to 5pm 7/4. Crazy flash flooding around town... -
incredible rains here.
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Strong line of storms on my doorstep...
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Rained again here this AM. Dry spell is over
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Wild storm with incredible CTG lightning with that. Not much rain but the 9pm batched dumped buckets on us...
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True. We've only had 2 90 degree days here and they were in April.
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today is anything but cool....
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Most of the day is rain free though....and not everyone will get one. Classic summertime weather.
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Eventually people will ignore the forecasts and start showing up....
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friends of ours postponed a BBQ today b/c of the forecast....oops
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The problem is most of the public doesn't understand probability forecasts-they see a bolt of lightning on the newscast and assume the day is shot...in reality, 90% of the day is rain free and decent.
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Upton's had big rains here for over a week and we have something like .25 to show for it....
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Another wiff here on the rains so far...amazing how we keep missing it all