Krs4Lfe

Looks more like snow squalls coming from Great Lakes and up north. Not really a clipper system. Spotty precip at best, just dry and strung out

A potential fail mode or the next 2 weeks is if the pacific jet extension goes too far. We are having that jet extension soon and it causes the ridge to roll over and finally brings a change to the near coast to coast torch that has been occurring. However, if the jet extension goes too far, then we'll be flooded with pacific air which will still result in warm temperatures. Hopefully, that's not the case but it is good that we're having some pac jet extension otherwise we would be stuck in this current pattern which isn't conducive for cold or snow for most of US.

We finally have a big storm heading towards the Upper Midwest. That was probably the pattern changer that much of CONUS needed. In the wake, there will be artic air and renewed chances for snow from an active STJ running into cold air. We were definitely in the minority over the past 2 weeks, much of CONUS was torching. Similar to early Jan 2024, looks like we have a big storm over the northern tier to shake up that death ridge over Central US. Without that ridge there, it becomes much easier for most of the country to have more chances for snow.

All other spots around them got just about 4” of snow. Would make sense that they did as well.

They will measure again at 1 PM but it will likely be compacted by then so I doubt any change

So now NYC has in between 7 to 10 inches of snow this month and about 5° colder than normal so definitely a snowy and cold month. It’s a pretty good way to start off winter.

Just measured about 5” here in Bayside. Definitely must have snowed a few inches last night. I guess that wasn’t a monumental bust; just on the low end of guidance. Looks to be a widespread 4-6 across NYC, north NJ, LI, coastal CT with 6-8” across west Chester.

Looks like snow is winding down here in Bayside. Definitely in between 3.5 and 4”, a general 2-4” across the city. Maybe Central Park comes in closer to 3” at 7 am

Sbout 3” and counting here in north Queens. Still coming down a bit too

Ocean effect only helps south shore I assume? Unless there’s some sound effect snow too

Too bad they’re hauling so fast. Another hour or so (maybe 2) and we’re done

That will be their final total. I remember some jokes yesteday that they would measure like 2.9” that might be spot on lol

That was the report from 7 PM. Heavy snow moved in after that. Probably around 3” when all is finished

I would estimate when all is said and done that Central Park will probably measure around 3 inches which is the same as last storm. I guess it’s still a solid month overall, with 6 to 9 inches across most of the city the entire month and temperature is around 5° below normal. Coldest December in a while and our snowiest one since December 2020

Nothing on radar in north queens but moderate snow. Maybe some ocean/sound effect snow. Appears to be nothing to our west. Just spotty precip

Light snow again here in north Queens. Nothing on radar but it certainly is snowing. Roads are a total mess

This has to be up there in terms of some of the biggest busts within the last decade for NYC. 1. 3/7/18 (one of those days) busts for NYC. 8-12” was forecast and we ended up with 3-6.” 2. 3/14/17 was forecast 12-18+ and we had 7-10” of snow and sleet mix. 3. 1/27/15 was forecast 24”+ and we had 9-12”. 4. 12/16/20 was forecast 12-18 and we had 8-12.” 5. 3/21/18 (one of those days) was forecast 12-18 and we had 9-12” 6. 11/27/14 (one of those days) was forecast 3-5” and we ended up with 1”. There are a few more minor busts where we were a few inches off but arent worthy of mention. Needless to say, we’ve had some big busts. Similarly, we’ve had some big booms. But this one just seemed like a lock which is why it probably felt worse lol

4” is the number. They’ll reach that amount surely but wow

Biggest bust in many years over here. Forecast of around 8”, will end up with 2-3.” Even last storm had more. It would be comical if people didn’t completely throw out the most sensical model guidance. We were never going to have significant snow with a quick moving clipper that had a stout warm nose. Was never meant to be

Yeah from Suffolk on east should do very well. It’s a shame thouhh NYC and points west. This thing is hauling fast. Never believe dryslots will fill in. HRRR does that every time.

Upton never should have upgraded to 6-9. A winter weather advisory for 2-5” would have been better. This thing is hauling, I thought I would stay up most of night for it but it’ll be done by midnight over here at this rate

Massive bust low for us. I doubt Central Park even makes it to 3” at this rate. It’s been a while since we’ve had a busy like this. We’re more overdue for bad busts than we are for a 4” snowfall. Pitiful

Last time NYC did better than Suffolk was 2/1/21, where we got 18-20” but LI mixed for a lot of the storm and got like 12.” Aside from that, they always seem to win. Still very pretty outside regardless. Id expect up to 10” in mid Hudson valley, they always jackpot too

Snowing moderately to heavily here in Bayside, Queens. Mesoscale discussion mentions rates of 1-2” per hour. We definitely have that now, but sleet is on NYC’s doorstep. Certainly wasn’t supposed to sleet this early. Congrats to the Nam, we could have actually hit 8” if it snowed like this for most of the night. I’d cut totals in half at this rate. Reminds me of the early February 2025 storm where NYC and Long Island got 3-6” but it was a sleet and ice storm in New Jersey. Gfs lol

I don’t see how NWS New York could say 8” for Manhattan. Seems impossible. Storms like this just simply don’t produce those totals for the area.