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09-10 analogy

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  1. So an average win of 12.2-3 .... not bad! Wild game last night. O's almost pulled off a comeback for the ages.
  2. Nice taking the series from the Phillies (and before that, Braves) before heading to NYC to slay the beast. Yeah, yeah, Judge and Soto but no one else in the Yanks lineup OPSs over .800. Meanwhile five Orioles (if you count O'Hearn) are, and Montcastle is close at .784. And the O's are 8-2 over the last 10 games, while the Yankees are 5-5. And the Yankees' catcher can't throw at all; Red Sox stole a bunch of bases against him yesterday. So turn Henderson, Jordan, Mateo, and Ced (if he can get on base) loose. Losing Bradish and Coulombe hurts, but that's why there's you can trade up until July 31. I'd think about moving Kjerstad, who's crushing it at Norfolk but has nowhere to play in the big time as of now. K can't play center if Mullins can't get untracked offensively (and frankly, with the rest of this offense, I think the O's can afford to carry him for his glove).
  3. Yeah it looks like we're gonna pay for this nice stretch next week.
  4. Read that the 0-3 km SRH from a BWI sounding was around 450 m2/s2 on Wednesday as the sup passed by. Not bad for around here.
  5. Almost looks like a multi-vortex ... hard to tell ...
  6. Nice V-notch on the cell just north of the M/D line, crossing I-81.
  7. Something I’m really glad we did, in retrospect. Will never forget It, just like January 2016 or June 2012.
  8. Yeah, it seems pretty rare for an AFD to start honking about a severe threat almost a week away. Hope things evolve so that the threat is a little later in the day on Monday; that is, if it comes to fruition at all.
  9. Time for some payback against the Skankees for all the years they owned the O's. Let's forget about the weekend with the A's, and sweep these DBs.
  10. Yeah it is amazing, the number and (apparent) intensity of tornadoes along that Ardmore-Sulphur-Holdenville corridor.
  11. Pocket of 9 C/km LLLR SW of DC according to latest SPC mesoanalysis.
  12. First thunder. Would prefer no hail. If I had a garage I wouldn't care, but ...
  13. Yeah that’s what’s nice about our spot too: a lot of open sky
  14. On eastern shore of Oneida lake northeast of Syracuse. Sun through high clouds nowbut there’s mid level junk all around. Real nice location in a state park though with facilities and good visibility (other than clouds). We got here at around 8 with about 10 cars in tile lot. Hiked around the park a bit and came back to the lot more or less full. I’d say lot has room for 200 (WAG) cars
  15. We're still going. Compelled by my daughter, who now is expecting a visit. (Nice to still be wanted.) If the clouds get in the way, so be it. We're still going to the state park and will have fun hiking around and having a picnic, even if the eclipse doesn't pan out to perfection. The room we've got in Utica is reasonably priced. I'm just once again worried about the traffic but if a little bit of cloud keeps some margin of viewers off the road, that might be a tradeoff I'm willing to make. We're also looking at an alternate state park that backs onto the Tug. I've always wanted to go there, but of course during a lake event. Frankly, the worst part will be what it usually is: the drive up 81. Trucks to the galore, half the time a lane is closed for repaving or other construction, causing backups that would make 95 over the Occoquan proud. The drive through the mountains was fun the first couple times, but that novelty has definitely worn itself down to a nub.
  16. There's a whole menu of model options regarding cloud cover that this forum usually ignores or, in my case, didn't even knew existed. We decided to decamp NE of Syracuse in a state park near Oneida Lake. Might try to go more NW if the traffic isn't bad to get an extra minute of Totality. Of course I've got to be in on a meeting Tuesday that I really can't do in a car. I tried dropping the magic words "eclipse" and "daughter" to get out of it, but no go.
  17. Yeah just sharing the experience with our daughter is the big thing. The ZoT is only 15 or so miles away from where we're staying so if the traffic isn't that bad we'll tool on up to Rome or something. But I hate traffic; deal with enough of that around here. And I hate port-a-potties. And I don't like doing my number-one business on some stranger's property without their permission.
  18. We got a hotel room where it's 99.7% totality, in Utica. Our daughter goes to school up near there so we're hooking up with her since her friends can't get their act together to see it. I think we're just going to stay at the hotel and if we miss out on 0.3%, it'll be worth it to have access to a bathroom and not worry about traffic. One thing giving me a little pause is the NWS threat matrix product, which shows 49% sky cover for Monday for Utica at 12 pm. But the p-and-c forecast is mostly sunny.
  19. The "triple point" is the severe season's kin to winter storms' "deformation zone."
  20. Per the MD 344, the extraordinary shear seems to be quite capably overcoming the lack of instability in WVA, so if that's occuring upstream of us ..?
  21. Somewhat ironic, or eerie, or maybe just uselessly coincidental, that the overlay for the hatched 10% significant tornadoes today covers almost exactly the location of the vast majority of tornadoes of Superoutbreak I, whose 50th anniversary is tomorrow.
  22. This Burnes guy is everything that was advertised. I could get used to this every fifth game.
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