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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. JenkinsJinkies
    Google says 20% chance of rain from 1-3.
  2. JenkinsJinkies
    Nah the dry pattern is about to break, GFS does flukes all the time.
  3. JenkinsJinkies
    For DC Google says 40% chance of thunderstorms between 5-6.
  4. JenkinsJinkies
    That had like a 10% chance of verifying…
  5. JenkinsJinkies
    This has blip written all over it, like one off fluke.
  6. JenkinsJinkies
    This is the time of year when cold fronts no longer mean frost advisories.
  7. JenkinsJinkies
    It’s a blip, it’ll be gone by the next model run. Snow would’ve collapsed by now.
  8. JenkinsJinkies
    Yesterday was the first 8pm sunset for Baltimore, sunsets will be after 8pm until August 16th
  9. JenkinsJinkies
    With snow there are more things that can go wrong that don’t apply this time of year.
  10. JenkinsJinkies
    It's probably gonna break apart before it reaches me though.
  11. JenkinsJinkies
    Will hit a brick wall somewhere near Frederick.
  12. JenkinsJinkies
    The last time this map was posted the region was in some level of green. Stuff in the forecast late next week is already fizzling out… Someone needs to do a deep dive as to what’s causing this and what we need to look for in long range to tell when this will end.
  13. JenkinsJinkies
    Given that climate science has underestimated the rate of the changes, I wonder if they were wrong about our region and we’re actually going to become more arid?
  14. JenkinsJinkies
    For Saturday Euro says enjoy 0.2-0.5 for the region. Canadian and GFS say what rain? QPF says 0.1 is the ceiling.
  15. JenkinsJinkies
    How quickly did it take for the Euro to collapse?
  16. JenkinsJinkies
    Every time there's a big rain in the forecast it gets walked back to practically nothing in the days leading up to it, every time.... What went wrong with our advertised wet pattern? Is it something with the ENSO state? Will it ever properly rain again?
  17. JenkinsJinkies
    When it says wetter than normal it’s wrong but when it says drier than normal it’s right…
  18. JenkinsJinkies
    Is there an explanation of what causes these rain holes?
  19. JenkinsJinkies
    Usually when a Niña breaks the dry pattern does to. This time it was injected with steroids instead.
  20. JenkinsJinkies
    There needs to be a “what went wrong” write up for the advertised wet pattern.
  21. JenkinsJinkies
    Thing is though epic snow patterns around here involve a bunch of factors to line up just right for us to score mostly because our region is often on the fringe of the temp boundaries. As a result we have to thread the needle or else it's too warm. For the rest of the year that doesn't apply, it should not be this hard for it to rain here.
  22. JenkinsJinkies
    Every time it looks like the dry pattern is about to end it gets turbo charged… Did we swap climates with California?
  23. JenkinsJinkies
  24. JenkinsJinkies
    So the forecasted pattern will collapse on the 28th, got it.
  25. JenkinsJinkies
    I mean we just had another case where a big rain was just a one off instead of an ushering in of a wet pattern. That’s also been the case since 2023. Also last week’s event had an anti rain force field once you went west of 95.
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