JenkinsJinkies
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With us heading into another Niña I wonder if we’re in this dryness for the long haul? Usually things turn dry between August and October in Niña years and the pattern doesn’t usually break until the Niña does in February/March. Though this past year it actually strengthened and lasted an extra 2 months.
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Why is it when cpc says we’ll be wet it’s wrong but when it says we’ll be dry it’s right?
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GFS fell off a cliff after DOGE
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Meanwhile in Australia https://www.facebook.com/Reuters/videos/2560754497605762/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v
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It abruptly shot up last November so yeah.
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If we get a Niño for 26-27 and the PDO improves like it did last year could that be a legit shot for us to finally score?
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Like clockwork, every third winter is a non winter. There's a reason I also wrote off this up coming winter last year, looks like I'll be right about this one.
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It’s called lethal wet bulb for a reason
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If the air is this soupy then the front will deliver an epic deluge.
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A day later and the purple is back.
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Was the year they predicted below normal snowfall for you one of the 4 years you got above normal snow?
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August 1st will have temps that are below average for even September 1st.
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That was a massive walk back, what went wrong?
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Since 2016 every time those big white mushrooms show up after a prolonged wet period there's always some form of drought development before the calendar year is out.
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In patterns when they're the ones getting the arctic blasts it's a torch fest here.
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Another potential system fizzled out
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That little bubble of moderate drought in Baltimore and Harford county is gone now.
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This is a budding 2nd year nina, we could very well see those types of dew points into early October and highs in the 80s into late October. Happened 2016 and 2017.
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Looks like Chantal was a bust in DC
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So it looks like its a coin flip of either a repeat of this past winter and another futility chart topper?
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How likely is a 19-20, 22-23 redux? I only ask because I have a theory that starting with 2016-17 every 3rd winter is a snowless torch.
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Because 09/10 is a once in a generation type setup.
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So do you think we've permanently lost the 1996/2003/2016 level storms?
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Will this be the pattern all season? The west steals our rain and we get breadcrumbs if the planets align?
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Yesterday there were rain chances all the way to Thursday, now there's a decent chance all of them go down the tubes...
