Powerball

The reason I'm bullish on Summer 2022 is because by the end of this year, everyone (of all ages) who wants the vaccine would have gotten it and with the weather change, DJF will be the the critical test to see if we experience another surge like we did this past winter. But even then, there may still be some form of travel restrictions to/from a small handful of countries where the health care infrastructure and vaccine distribution remains poor. EDIT: Also, any lawsuits related to COVID spread in shared public spaces will hopefully have been litigated by then, establishing a precedent that businesses can confidently adapt to accordingly. This is just my gut feeling though.

Summer 2022 is definitely a good possibility, IMO.

You're assuming that: 1. The vaccines fully protects against all variants 2. You still can't catch the virus (even with less severe symptoms) and spread it. The scientific community has made it clear that #2 is still possible (especially since not everyone has been vaccinated) and #1 is still unknown. Like I said earlier, we'll just have to pack our patience for a return to "normal." It's not going to happen overnight.

While the rise in US cases might have slowed for now, many countries are experiencing a renewed surge in the virus (including other newly discovered variants) that has the WHO concerned about a global surge in cases and deaths This is the best move by the U.S. government to minimize the risk that whatever variants are causing headaches in these other countries make it into US borders. https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/20/europe/who-global-covid-cases-rise-intl/index.html

U.S. State Department says it will boost ‘Do Not Travel’ advisories to 80% of the world https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/20/us-plans-to-boost-do-not-travel-advisories-to-80percent-of-the-world.html

New York City Movie Theaters Can Expand Capacity to 33% https://variety.com/2021/film/news/new-york-city-movie-theaters-capacity-pandemic-1234954774/

California Boosts Indoor Event Capacity to 75% in Some Areas https://variety.com/2021/music/news/california-event-capacity-limit-concerts-1234954973/

Connecticut to lift all COVID-19 business restrictions, except masking, on May 19 https://www.courant.com/coronavirus/hc-news-coronavirus-daily-updates-0419-20210419-7b5k47ujrnbq5n7wfjt7kyktym-story.html

I agree. Correct. So far, I think the only other states to formally regulate this are Texas and Florida (I could be mistaken), although the governor of Georgia has gone on record to say he's philosophically not in favor of passports.

Governor Ducey issues executive order banning vaccine passports in Arizona https://www.azfamily.com/news/continuing_coverage/coronavirus_coverage/governor-ducey-issues-executive-order-banning-vaccine-passports-in-arizona/article_a454daf8-a131-11eb-9f07-e75827900d8b.html

Jitters, excitement and elbow bumps as Chicago Public high schools reopen after 13-month shutdown: ‘This is long overdue — the first day of school in April’ https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-cps-high-schools-reopen-first-day-covid-20210419-r76ohmolxrgvpeypqnuuyqebay-story.html

Yes it is vague, because a literal interpretation of "below 10K" could mean anywhere from 0 cases to 9,999 cases per day (massive range). At least saying "well below 10K" can be interpreted to mean the number would not be near the high end of that range.

And just saying "below 10K" is even more vague. That said, everyone's entitled to their own opinion (right or wrong) about the data. I just think we're best served if we don't misquote what other scientific experts say, like some have been doing.

For those who aren't aware, this is the first day that adults of all ages in every state are eligible to schedule appointments for their vaccination. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/19/world/adults-eligible-covid-vaccine.html

I see some people are still misconstruing what Dr. Fauci actually said. To be clear, what he said was: 1. New infections need to fall not just below 10K cases per day, but *WELL* below 10K cases per day. 2. Once new cases per day are *WELL* below 10K, there could be a *GRADUAL* pull back of *SOME* restrictions. He also stressed that the nation till has a lot of work to do before it reaches that point. For those who want to read his actual words that were quoted, see the link below: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/fauci-clashes-gop-lawmaker-covid-restrictions-eased/story?id=77097089

25% of Americans fully vaccinated against coronavirus, CDC says https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/18/health/us-coronavirus-sunday/index.html

There are still places within the US in the midst of a surge. Plus, the scientific community still doesn't know what effects (if any) emerging variants will have going forward. https://scitechdaily.com/new-covid-variants-have-changed-the-game-and-vaccines-will-not-be-enough/ So say "next week starts the permanent turn down" is premature and presumptuous

Whitmer: State won't close down again following GOP lawsuits https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/548888-whitmer-state-wont-close-down-again-following-gop-lawsuits

It look like the surge in Michigan is also impacting production at one of Stellantis' assembly plants outside of Detroit. Not only did they fall short of their production goals, but according to a report in Bloomberg, 630 workers either tested positive for COVID-19 or are under quarantine. https://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/chrysler/2021/04/16/ram-truck-plant-sterling-heights-covid-19-surge-production/7255441002/

lol. Some people just can't help themselves.

It seems Oregon is considering extending its mask mandate and social distancing rules indefinitely, at least inside workplaces: https://www.google.com/amp/s/fox8.com/news/coronavirus/as-mask-mandates-end-in-some-states-oregon-bucks-trend-and-considers-making-them-permanent/amp/

It seems a 21 year old medical student at University of Cincinnati died a day after taking the J&J vaccine. It is currently being investigated, but so far there's been no direct evidence of the vaccine being the cause of death. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fox19.com/2021/04/16/university-cincinnati-students-death-after-jj-vaccine-under-investigation/%3foutputType=amp

LOL!!!

Fauci says U.S. will likely resume use of J&J Covid vaccine with a warning or restriction https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/18/fauci-us-will-likely-resume-use-of-jj-covid-vaccine-with-a-warning.html

12z NAM wasn't nearly as far SE/weak as the 06z run, but definitely shifted away from the amped/NW solution it was showing before.