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Everything posted by Powerball
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I never said that. I do, however, take issue with people spreading false information about the virus like several individuals are doing in this thread.
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If that's the case, you can't also go around pedalling the effectiveness rates for fully vaccinationed individuals at the same time. Again, spreading misinformation. Furthermore, this herd immunity threshold you're hoping we reach is with the assumption that a percentage of americans amongst *ALL* age groups are *FULLY* vaccinated. Hate to break it to you, but per the numbers I sourced earlier, we're not even close to that point.
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You're not fully vaccinated with just one dose though. What don't you understand about that?
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Perhaps reading isn't your strong suit either. I'm not sure what "severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)" means, but this part is definitely clear (which the original poster conveniently omitted in their citation): "This vaccine is 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)." So like I said, you can still catch the virus and suffer from severe symptons despite being vaccinated. A vaccine merely reduces the chances of that happening (not eliminate them). In the case of the Pfizer vaccine, it seems to greatly reduce those chances (but still not eliminate them). However, Pfizer that's only one of several vaccines that Americans are taking.
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That's not what you just said earlier:
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Some of you don't understand how vaccinations work. First of all, "80% of them" have not been fully vaccinated yet. I'm not sure who pulled that number out of their ass, but they're spreading false information. The fact is, only 1/3 of the US population has received their first shot and oly 21% of the US population has been fully vaccinated. https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/states-ranked-by-percentage-of-covid-19-vaccines-administered.html Second, you can still catch the virus and suffer from severe symptons despite being vaccinated. A vaccine merely reduces the chances of that happening (not eliminate them). And if you're someone with pre-existing conditions or a weakened immune system, the vaccination's effectiveness won't be as strong. Even here in Texas, every major retailer / restaurant (including Texas-based establishments) is still mandating masks. And in work spaces, they're still enforcing mask wearing and 6 feet social distancing.
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Since you asked, because despite the pseudoscience being peddled by some in this thread, it's completely unrealistic to expect "no more masks" by the Summer. At the earliest, Summer 2022 is when things will be "normal" across much of the country.
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Looks like there's going to be a thick cirrus canopy overhead for the next couple of hours. I guess we'll see what effect that has on convection this afternoon/evening.
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Slight Risk has been extended even further NE to include most of the Metroplex now...
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Latest model runs are really ramping up the moisture return and instability around DFW and Central Texas tomorrow. The CAMs are even managing to develop isolated / scattered t'storms. SPC has already issued a marginal risk area to account for this potential:
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Yep, I did. I'm in Dallas now.
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Fair enough. If they're tech-oriented companies, that's understandable. I don't see the actual manufacturing auto suppliers like Lear or Visteon leaving.
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Unless these are tech-oriented companies, the talent pool part doesn't check out. Tampa, while a very nice city (one of my favorites), has a laughable pool of educated talent and Austin is only good for tech talent. Detroit is still (by far) the place auto companies want to be in order to easily attract/poach talent, especially Mechanical Engineers.
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I live in a highly desirable area (Whole Foods / Trader Joes nearby, tons of corporate offices, tons of festivals, every type of chain, independent & ethnic restaurant you can think of, light rail line set to open in 2023, etc.) and I don't pay anywhere near "a couple grand per month." No place is perfect. That said, trees here have been near full bloom for the past couple of week, it's been consistently in the 70s & 80s since the event in February, job opportunities are plentiful and I don't have to pay an income tax. The positives definitely seem to outweight the negatives that come with once in a century weather.
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Have you ever lived in Texas?
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Do you know what date the new normals will officially be released? I imagine they're going to be warmer for much of the country. It was definitely a more torchy period than not.
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I don't recall there ever being so many hail reports in a day (I'm sure there has been, but it doesn't happen often), especially spread across such a wide area and outpacing wind reports 2-to-1.
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For perspective, baseball-sized hail is only 2.75" in diameter: 0104 300 ITALY ELLIS TX 3219 9689 IMAGE OF MEASURED 3 INCH HAIL. (FWD)
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Mesoscale Discussion 0354 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0821 PM CDT Fri Apr 09 2021 Areas affected...parts of north Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 82... Valid 100121Z - 100415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 82 continues. SUMMARY...Sporadic cells capable of large hail remain possible within WW 82. A squall line is expected to back build southwestward along the front later this evening, with damaging wind potential into north Texas. DISCUSSION...The 00Z FWD sounding shows strong instability, with very steep lapse rates aloft and around 3500 J/kg MLCAPE. The hodograph is mostly straightline, supporting splitting cells in the Dallas area. A strong cold front is currently surging southeast across southern OK and into northwest TX. A squall line is taking shape over southern OK, and further back building is expected as the strong convergence interacts with the more unstable air mass south of the Red River. Therefore, in addition to a hail threat in the short term, a damaging wind threat may take shape over the next several hours. It is difficult to determine how far southwest the squall line will build, but portions of the I-35 corridor may be at risk this evening. ..Jewell.. 04/10/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 31449788 32719731 33449692 33959680 34149637 34099567 33829523 32859547 31869575 31519628 31219703 31129752 31449788
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Severe Thunderstorm Warning TXC113-100200- /O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0065.210410T0059Z-210410T0200Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 759 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Dallas County in north central Texas... * Until 900 PM CDT. * At 758 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Rowlett, moving east at 20 mph. Another severe thunderstorms was located near Cockrell Hill moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Dallas, Garland, Irving, Grand Prairie, Mesquite, Carrollton, Richardson, Rowlett, Wylie, Duncanville, Lancaster, Farmers Branch, University Park, Sachse, Addison, Highland Park, Cockrell Hill and Buckingham. This includes the following highways... Interstate 35E between mile markers 418 and 440. Interstate 20 between mile markers 467 and 471. Interstate 30 between mile markers 34 and 57. Interstate 45 between mile markers 276 and 284. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3298 9652 3262 9676 3272 9704 3299 9685 TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 283DEG 17KT 3288 9659 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$
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Cells have gone up along I-30 now, from SW Dallas to Rowlett
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No.
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Well damn. It looks like the cap is gone too.
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There's still a brief window for something to develop as the cold front pushes through. This is the latest HRRR's forecast sounding at 00z.