Powerball

I see the Detroit area got rocked (DTW recorded a 76 MPH gust). I talked to my mom and she said there are down branches everywhere.

This Summer is likely on track to be a top 20 warmest for DFW (in addition to this being a top 10 hottest August). Also, a large part of North Texas is now under moderate drought conditions. I know after 2022 and 2023, this year feels milquetoast in comparison (especially with the mild July). But yeah, statistically, the records will reflect it was another hot one with an impressve turnaround on both the precipitation (especially with the surplus we had as of early June) and temp front... Can't help but wonder how much worse it would have been without the unusually early start to the season we had for global tropical activity in the first half of July.

Today marks the 14th 100°F+ day of the year for DFW. In all likelihood, it's the start of a decent streak.

The summer hasn't been all that hot (relative to average) thus far, but if the 00z GFS is to believe, a brutal 2nd half of August will definitely help to make up for it.

The 100s are officially back, as DFW achieved an intra-hour high of 100*F today (9th for the year so far). Could potentially be looking at a 7+ day streak too.

Never said it was, because in fact June was actually solidly to well-above normal across much of the country. The Typhoon though is definitely helping to reinforce, for the short/medium-term, the ongoing pattern with Western Ridging and Central/Eastern Troughing that has been in place for much of July as we enter the climatologically hottest part of the year, which is really killing any shot of those bullish Summer forecasts verifying at this point (although I will caveat this by saying there's still the last 2/3rds of August to get through).

There's still next Summer though, which will likely end up being the more torchy one this Summer was originally projected to be (if historic 2nd year Nina climatology is any indication).

A much slower than expected transition to a La Nina ENSO state and the ongoing Super Typhoon in the West Pacific has definitely screwed up what were originally the expectations for this Summer.

Stratiform rain (not even thunder) and temps in the 70s at 1pm in late July for North Texas is surreal...

Made it to 101*F at DFW today, hottest day of the year (and 8th 100*F+ day) thus far...

Numerous major cities this season have been paralyzed by severe t'storms & tropical systems in what has been a historically exceptional, deadly and costly year for extreme weather. Menawhile, to WestMichigan's point, you're busy in here going: "nO 8-9, mE 90!!! UGgA bUgGa!!!"

Mother Nature just says she's going bullseye for all the big cities this year.

Today's intra-hour high of 100*F was the 7th one this season for DFW.

The delayed transition from an El Nino to Neutral to La Nina ENSO state (now it may not happen until well into the Fall) has definitely thrown a wrench into what were the pattern expectations for this Summer. It's good in that those impressive temp anomalies originally forecasted back in the Spring will now likely bust too high.

DFW snagged a late day intra-hour high of 100*F today (6th this season), which will seemingly be the last one for a while...

And also the 5th 100*F day of the year

DFW set yet another record maximum low this morning of 81*F (previous record was 80*F in 2022).

Today is also the 4th 100*F high for the year.

DFW tied yet another record maximum low of 82*F this morning.

DFW achieved an intra-hour high of 100*F today (3rd this season) *and* set another record maximum low of 83*F this morning.

Models are gonna model with their ridiculous outputs, but logically with the timing of the incoming "deep" trough, I only see 2 realistic outcomes with Beryl as far as possible Texas impacts: 1. A recurvature in the GOM before it reaches Texas, with any/all meaningful impacts confined to Louisiana and eastward. 2. Only parts of South Texas getting skirted with moisture/precip (similar to Alberto) as it slides progressively into/across Mexico #2 would be ideal to help extend the "cool down" for the region.

DFW set new record maximum lows both on 6/29 and 6/30, with lows of 81F and 82F respectively.

DFW achieved an intra-hour high of 100*F today, 2nd time this season.

DFW may have tied the record low minimum of 82*F this morning, which was just set last year.