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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    We're even getting hazy skies way down here from the smoke.
  2. Powerball
    I feel for you. That's brutal...
  3. Powerball
    That sucks. My condolences...
  4. Powerball
    Tornado Warning for Denton/Collin Counties right now with that long-track supercell. It's only radar indicated for now. Also, a separate Severe Thunderstorm Warning for destructive winds (80 MPH) just went out for the same cell. It should slip by just to my north though.
  5. Powerball
    Go for it!
  6. Powerball
    lol
  7. Powerball
    Today is looking to be the best daytime severe weather setup DFW has seen in a long time. FWD's discussion was actually pretty ominous. No morning crapvection, borderline extreme instability by mid/late afternoon with highs around 90*F / dews in the 70s, an actual shortwave moving through at peak heating and a decent amout of mid-level dry air. The primary threats appear to be gorilla hail and and downburst winds
  8. Powerball
    ^^^A little too hasty...
  9. Powerball
    That cell near Beaver Dam is looking pretty gnarly on the most recent frames...
  10. Powerball
    Looking good, y'all...
  11. Powerball
    100*F is not going to happen today at DFW due to the poor mixing heights (dewpoints pooling into the low 70s). Even breaking the record high of 95*F seems questionable after temps so far topped out at 94*F before dipping back down to 90*F as of 2pm.
  12. Powerball
    Definitely wouldn't be fine if I lived in Ohio...
  13. Powerball
    ^^^Fine with me!!!
  14. Powerball
    Obviously it's going to be modified for this subforum, but the warmer temps are definitely on track for next week as the Omega Block finally breaks down (which is typically how temps respond with the strong subsidence in its wake). In fact, a record high of 101*F (you read that right, not a typo) is forecasted here on Wednesday, with 90s expected all next week starting Tuesday. That said, in the mean time, looking at a mostly cloudy weekend on the western fringe of the ULL with highs in the 70s.
  15. Powerball
    That extremely late-in-the-season PV split during early April kind of helped to reset the pattern from what was looking to be a torchy Spring (after the unusually warm/dry March). That said, there are early indications of a transition to more heat/ridging by mid-month.
  16. Powerball
    ^^^Nasty work...
  17. Powerball
    Probably won't be as cool as the 500mb map suggests, FWIW. But yeah, will suck for severe weather prospects outside of possibly the Southern Plains.
  18. Powerball
    It's definitely a thread the needle kind of setup with decent bust potential. Part of the problem (which the CAMs are likely picking up on) is that the better ascent/forcing will start to peel away by late afternoon/early evening before convective temps are achieved. There is, however, a 6 hour window from 18z to 00z though where sky's the limit if everything aligns just right.
  19. Powerball
    DET wasn't nearly as bad as has been the last 2-3 years. If anything, it was often a hair cooler than DTW...
  20. Powerball
    DFW overachieved by a few degrees with a high of 88*F today.
  21. Powerball
    And the record was tied with an intra-hour high...
  22. Powerball
    You have my condolences...
  23. Powerball
    Near-record warmth is expected for DFW tomorrow. The forecast high is 92*F and the record high is 93*F.
  24. Powerball
    Yep.
  25. Powerball
    Could see 100s in parts of NW Texas tomorrow.
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