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Maggie Valley Steve

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Everything posted by Maggie Valley Steve

  1. The lights are on and snow making going full throttle to the Top of the Mountain at Cataloochee Ski Area overnight and this morning! Looking like an opening coming quickly and possibly by Friday or Saturday? The weather certainly will cooperate! I am seeing the potential of another strong cold front around Thanksgiving bringing the possibility of more snow. The extended range sure looks active as well. 33 for my low so far.
  2. Winter Weather Advisories hoisted for the border Counties to Swain County. GSP has me in the 2 to 4 inch range. Carefully watching a more Northerly flow early Friday before a NWFS sets in.
  3. A bit of am uptick via the GFS and ECMWF this afternoon. Both models suggested a bit more vigorous upper air disturbance/lobe dropping more SSE into the Southern Apps. Both suggested a couple inches of accumulation here in the Valley.
  4. Second morning with 32 and heavy frost to the Valley floor. The "warm up" was not so warm here on the N facing mountain. Hoping to see a flurry or two Thursday night!
  5. Yeah we needed the rain. Started out at 41 this morning and currently sitting at 45 with light rain.
  6. This pattern keeps popping up. Makes me think it may have legs
  7. I am finally seeing signs of a pattern change suggesting at least we get back to seasonal norms regarding temperatures. Looking like the first shot of stronger colder air arrives mid next week followed by several more shots of colder air leading up to Thanksgiving.
  8. No snow at 3200 ft. Just a mix of rain and sleet pellets. Looks like the snow line here was around 4500 ft. Sheep Back Mountain looked nice with snow cover this morning.
  9. Nice to see snow on the ground at Cataloochee this morning. Looks like we may get another chance toward the end of the month. November is coming quickly and hopefully the ski areas open up ahead of schedule!
  10. Just walked the dogs. Light rain and sleet mix. Webcam at Cataloochee shows some light accumulation starting.
  11. 34 with heavy frost to the ground this morning. My point and click forecast from GSP indicates a 50% chance of snow overnight tonight.
  12. The 12Z 3km NAM suggests some accumulation above 5K Tuesday evening into Wednesday. Definitely feeling like a Fall day with a current temperature of 55F.
  13. 43 this morning. I'm noticing the longer range guidance suggest much cooler air possibly arriving early to mid next week. I'm praying that the folks still needing to be reached with supplies get what they need soon! The Army arrived in Maggie Sunday afternoon. They've been working with our Town Maintenance crews since arriving!
  14. 45 here this morning. Fortunately local restaurants and businesses are opening back up so that their employees can get back to work. I still have spotty cell phone issues, but otherwise progress is being made locally in cleaning up and repairs continue! Thankfully the weather has been cooperating.
  15. We have at least 6 fatalities in the Maggie are. My Lord the amount of damage from Campbell Creek and Jonathan Creek is just catastrophic. The amount of slides is just utterly heartbreaking. The first Chinook flew over a half hour ago.
  16. Finally have connectivity this morning. Hopefully more of the mountain folks begin checking in. It's going to be a while before this area sees anything near what was normal.
  17. Now this is worrisome. Stalled for 2 to 3 days and further inland than previously expected.
  18. I've really been hesitant to mention any potential impacts for our area due the lack of consistency in the models. Any shift further inland would likely increase our chances of rainfall. Very complicated setup with a deeper trough over the Great Lakes potentially dropping down and a slow moving tropical system meandering at the base of the trough. We should get a handle on the potential impacts or the lack there of within the next 24 to 36 hours.
  19. And it missed Western Haywood. Just like a NWFS!
  20. Looking like almost all of Haywood County is under the gun tonight. Expecting Severe Thunderstorms Warning within the hour.
  21. Mesoscale Discussion this morning for Kentucky and Tennessee talking about training thunderstorms and potential flash flooding issues today shifting E with a vigorous Vortex/disturbance. Something to watch for later today.
  22. Good thunderstorm finally. Frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy rainfall.
  23. We got a break Friday and Saturday with no rain, so folks that packed Maggie Valley for Hillbilly Jam are happy. Looking showers and thunderstorms are on tap this afternoon. Only 33 days until September and Fall!
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