Maggie Valley Steve

Starting out the day at 48°. Had sunshine like Met1985, but clouds have rolled back in. Welcome Ryno23.

Currently 42° in the Valley. We're safe here from any icy weather overnight. That wind is howling though.

Seeing the blues indicate a 60 to 70% chance at range. If the trends continue, I suspect we'll begin seeing Winter Weather products from the WPC as early as tomorrow afternoon.

Sleet now at the house.

Hard not to like the 12Z GFS solution. Dropped 8 inches here starting midday Friday. Going to be an interesting week.

Snow flurries at Cataloochee.

The 12Z 12km NAM increases the amount of wintry weather across the area. Actually the snow total increased, particularly the NWFS tomorrow into Tuesday morning. One thing for sure, it's going to get very cold this week with s snow pack close by. GSP has me with a 40 to 50% chance of snow for a 24 hour period beginning early Friday.

Temperature has risen from 25° at 5 this morning to 30° now. Moisture is heading our way and it's going to be interesting to see what the initial onset will bring. My point and click forecast suggests a rain/snow mix.

This one has definitely over achieved expectations. I've been getting off and on squalls this afternoon and the roads have been covered. I'm nearing an inch now after the noon melt off.

Snow showers have moved back in and it's actually sticking to the driveway and decks as the gusty winds pick up and temperature drops.

I ended up with a dusting, but the sun is breaking through and the snow has melted on the Valley floor.

Snow flurries at the house.

Moderate snow at Cataloochee now. Looks like decent quarters falling.

Ceiling is beginning to lower and snow showers are moving over the Cataloochee Mountains now.

Clouds have finally rolled in and Webcam's at Hemphill Bald and Cataloochee show snow flurries now.

22° here for the low. Snow is in my point and click forecast for tomorrow morning. I noticed the shortwave currently over Iowa is producing 1 inch per hour snowfall rates. It will be interesting to watch that wave progression today and see if it remains energetic and not moisture starved. The winds tomorrow into Saturday are going to be howling.

This has my attention...

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 243 PM EST Wed Jan 1 2025 NCZ033-048>052-058-021945- Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- 243 PM EST Wed Jan 1 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Light snow showers are possible on Friday. Most locations will likely see only a dusting, however some higher elevations along the Tennessee border may receive 1 to 3 inches of accumulation. Strong wind gusts will become increasingly likely as Friday wears on and wind chill values Friday night may fall below zero. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None.

Upper air pattern continues to waffle with no reliability in any one solution. Models have always struggled with these very cold patterns and the depth of the very cold air. Personally, I believe the 6th is not lost for our area and likely we will see Winter Storm Watches hoisted Saturday evening. I also believe we will see multiple disturbances rotating across the Mountains beyond the 6th offering additional opportunities for snow showers.

Just came over Soco Gap and it was snowing moderately. Sleet/snow mix at the house now.

Happy New Year Mountain Folk. Here's to a much better 2025 for Everyone!

And another lobe in Canada heading down as well .

Brutal...

The Weather Prediction Center starting to ramp up ahead of the events...

There sure are a lot of memorable winter analogs showing up in today's updated CPC Day 8+ and Day 11+ Analogs.