Pulled this from a NWS site. Not perfect, but better. Certainly one can easily question this breakout for climate/weather purposes (e.g, MD and DE in NE US; or KS in the South !?)
needs a Mid-Atlantic region!
I was in Austin during Thanksgiving and also made it out to the hills one afternoon to go to some wineries. Very warm when I arrived, low 80s. There were one or two unseasonally cool days — cool for them for November (chilly breeze, daytime 50s) — and more than just a few of the locals were running around in shorts and tee shirts.
Nice flakes now, sometimes mixing in with a little rain, but it is snowing and it clearly wants to snow now -- a little late to the non-party. Temps down 1/2 degree in last 15 mins, down to 36.4
Well yes I realize that. But I thought the past 24-48 hr trends pretty much killed that snowfall probability for C MD to something more like 1-2%. Twenty percent chance seems optimistic at this point. One can hope ....
Counting snow, sleet, compacting/melting and overnight lite dusting, think I'm gonna just go with 3" even, unless today over-performs. Yesterday afternoon before sleet I had a few measurements approaching 2.7" and 2.8",
Been ripping in Columbia for at least past 90 mins. when I first noticed. Have also had a few biting in-your-face wind gusts. Temp has gone up 1.4 in last hour to 24.7. A few quick measurements of about 2-1/2”, plus or minus.
Columbia 4-F club: First fine flakes falling.
10.3 low temp at dawn.
22.1 at 2:00pm w/first flakes
My low-bar of victory/acceptability since Saturday is a 3” snowfall, even if it washes away.
Noticed my Columbia morning text forecast update slightly upped daytime accums from 1-2” to 1-3”. I’ll take what I can get.
edit: after morning low of 10 at dawn, just hit 20 imby at 11:45am. First time all morning I’ve lost vailed sun, finally.
My bar for this event in Columbia, even if snow gets washed away in the end:
Less than 3" total snowfall = BUST
3"- 4" -- Decent, all things considered
4"- 6" -- Better than I would have expected, all things considered
> 6" -- BOOM
Ground coated/covered white after storm ends and it looks like winter outside: That's all I really ever hoped for.
Morning low 10.3 around dawn. Up to 16.6 at 10:15am. Need clouds to hold tough and need snow to roll in quickly today.