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Herb@MAWS

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  1. Best online snow forecast contest over last 20 years here: http://www.newx-forecasts.com Stats galore !! Contest would probably be announced later on today if enuf forecast cities are in play. (this contest is an outgrowth of the old ne.weather newsgroup)
  2. I-70 and north seems to have been the dividing line. I kept seeing reports at times during the first 1/2 of Monday of additional snow falling from AmWx members in Reisterstown, Pikesville, Towson, etc. ..... while in Columbia we stayed all-rain/ZR at those same times. Columbia also had about 3/4" to 1" snow/sleet overall and also had sleet/ZR but it didn't hold up like it did in P'ville. (will blame it on sun angle, with Columbia's more-southern latitude?!)
  3. Am in Pikesville today. A world of scenic difference from Columbia several days later, for this event. Pikesville -= white/snow cover Columbia = green/grass
  4. Keeping hopes alive, NCEP extended forecast narrative at least has us in the game. Of course, "Mid Atlantic" has many different meanings to us. From NCEP's 2/13 early morning discussion: THE ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM STORM TRACK SETTING UP WILL MEAN A PERIOD OF GENERALLY WET CONDITIONS FOR AREAS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD. LOW PRESSURE TRAVERSING THE SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC ON SAT COULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF RELATIVELY LIGHT SNOWS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC, WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE NEXT FRONTAL WAVE ON SUN MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN/SNOW TO PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL HAVE ACCESS TO MUCH DEEPER MOISTURE COURTESY OF THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH TO THE WEST AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, AND THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE A MAJOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCER. ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS A LINGERING POLAR FRONT AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEAST AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATE MON INTO TUE/WED. COLDER AIR TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM MAY RESULT IN AN AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION FROM PORTIONS OF THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC ON TUE, WITH SNOW, SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN ALL POSSIBLE.
  5. Ongoing rain, ZR and pingers. Temp down to 31.7 now IMBY, after only rising from 32.2 to 32.8 during the entire afternoon.
  6. 32.2, temps trending the wrong way here. Light drizzle, while the drip, dripping from the rain gutters and trees has begun.
  7. Still all snow here, moderate snow, 30.4°
  8. 100% snow right now. Mod snow, small flakes. 31° Sidewalks and roads just wet but everything else is whitened or is about to be.
  9. Today [and this week] have been good for the psyche, knowing we're going into a warmer period ... and that much of this will be gone Sunday. But it doesn't feel so bad this time. And no hard, heavy shoveling required. And then we get colder again. -- 1.4" today (and inconsequential S- continues) -- 18.5° at 7pm
  10. Really hadn't noticed any stickage on my side street today -- until now.
  11. Snowing nicely again, decent flake size, 19 degrees.
  12. 1pm -- Flurries with partial sun, 19.3°, close to 1".
  13. Local NWS forecast expanded range from 1-2" to 1-3".
  14. At least 1/2" on east side of Columbia, 16.7° with snow and dim sunshine.
  15. 0.3" at 9am. Temp dropped back 1/2 degree to 14.8 since 7am pixies onset.
  16. Beginning as pixies, 15.3° at 7am IMBY ..... after Thurs evening low of 7.7° before temps began rising.
  17. Only lasted about 15-20 mins. Didn't really see it accumulate, too much wind.
  18. 33.5 with mod snow/small flakes. Pic taken 3:15pm. f
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