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Itryatgolf70

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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70

  1. Dec 2015 was incredibly warm. Then in beg to mid January 2016 it flipped to alot more sustainable cold. I'm hoping it changes earlier than that, but it may not. We definitely need some big shifts and tweaks in the pattern moving forward
  2. Keep us updated. I'm hoping we get what we need to get to shake things up moving forward, whatever that is lol.
  3. My girlfriend family lives in Paris tn, which I think a tornado went through there unless it dissipated quickly but it was a PDS tornado warning. Paris is notorious for tornadoes.
  4. I agree with your sentiment, but most people who have houses and enough room for a storm shelter should get one because we live in an area that has tornadoes pretty much all year long, highlighted by spring and secondary svr weather season October. Imo, people shouldn't wait until a big event happens and then go do it. It better to be safe than sorry.
  5. Should have been issued hours ago....just saying
  6. I think the olr charts have the best depiction of mjo. The ensembles will adjust accordingly whenever the mjo gets to the colder phases but we have a ways to go. Hopefully we won't have to throw away many more weeks of unfavorable conditions for colder weather moving forward
  7. Carver, go read tomer burg's tweets on Twitter from a few hours ago. Very interesting stuff. Eric Webb made good post also. Monster highs overseas!! Wished we could tap some of that
  8. If it stays in the warm phases, it won't be much different than 15-16 imo. Most want it to get into 8-3, but that's the difficult part figuring out when it could happen. I hear the olr charts are more accurate in determining where the mjo is currently so I guess most people should read those charts instead of the RMM charts for more confidence
  9. The Alaska low is the main issue imo, which is tied to +epo
  10. Bluewave is smart, but snowman19 don't like cold and repeats what other people say
  11. Kicking the can or chasing unicorns aren't fun lol. El Niños are usually back loaded. Hopefully patience is a virtue for us
  12. I really believe imo that once the mjo signal gets in west pacific, the ensembles and op runs will adjust accordingly. Not until then. Consistency is the key
  13. Saw this posted. Amazing stuff really!! Out west in mountains
  14. Carver, I'm assuming when there is a legitimate pattern change, it will show in the ensembles about 10 days out and the op runs will hint at it as well? I personally can't believe anything 15-16 days away and typically if it's legit, it usually gets moved up in time. I read something at another forum that there is a typhoon throwing things out of whack currently with the pattern.
  15. Where can I go to see the actual location of the mjo? The rmm charts suck like the euro gfs bc
  16. I guess it will take longer to get the mjo to the colder phases, perhaps after Christmas?
  17. What's you opinion when things could change for a colder pattern moving forward? After or around Christmas? Just curious
  18. Carver, not sure if you know about this website, but it has alot of stuff for people to look at: daculaweather.com. if it don't take you straight to mjo page, just put in: dacula weather mjo. Very informative stuff
  19. I think it's about the mjo progression if it means anything into the colder phases. Hopefully sooner rather than later. The weeklies coming out every day now causes alot of emotional rollacosters.
  20. I know the weeklies used to run twice a week, but now every day I think. Excitement every day in some form or fashion
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