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Itryatgolf70

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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70

  1. Itryatgolf70
    I thought with an upgrade it improved, but ensembles are the way to go at a certain range regardless.
  2. Itryatgolf70
    There has been snow and ice in end of Feb early March many times, but at that point, we have unfortunately wasted a whole month if no progress is made with mjo moving forward. That why I'm doubting eric webb and others opinions of a similar progress with mjo that closely resembles 2010. Unless things change in a hurry lol
  3. Itryatgolf70
    I wonder which model really has the best idea of the mjo progression or has had the best idea? Larry Cosgrove said yesterday for a return to winter, we want the mjo to progressively move from the warm phases to cold phases with a strong enough coherent structure. I definitely hope it will do that
  4. Itryatgolf70
    I'm hoping we don't continue to kick the can down the road, which would lead to the weeklies getting pushed back more and more. I definitely want one more opportunity at a return to winter here.
  5. Itryatgolf70
    Eric webb believes the pattern moving forward closely resembles 2010 progression. He tweeted that western hemisphere to Indian Ocean slow moving mjo treck. He tweeted a few hours ago
  6. Itryatgolf70
    Until the eps or gefs starts indicating a pattern to support cold again, I'm in denial of the weeklies. That's just me though lol. I'm still hoping winter returns before we run otta time
  7. Itryatgolf70
    Something else yall may or may not know is there is this website where you can view old afd's from years ago in any city. IEM COW. It's very interesting
  8. Itryatgolf70
    Eric webb is good but he misses just like everyone else. Anthony masiello is really good also. He don't post on Twitter anymore. At least not Elon musk twitter.
  9. Itryatgolf70
    As most know, we don't want the mjo to stay in phase 6 bc that is the warmest of all phases. I'm surprised that Eric webb hasn't considered that unless he feels that won't be a factor moving forward. It just means that winter will be delayed even more if it comes back, which I hope it does for one more opportunity at a winter storm. It will suck to waste a whole month
  10. Itryatgolf70
    Eric webb seems adamant after this next week's jet extension, it gets going gangbusters through mid March so I guess we shall see.
  11. Itryatgolf70
    We may squander all of February on too warm air for winter weather. I hope not. Once past mid February, time is big time ticking. March can be cold, mainly higher elevations. Hoping we don't wait until then for that
  12. Itryatgolf70
    I guess depending on what model is correct on the mjo progression. I wouldn't mind a return to winter, especially if it's not cold and dry. Just less cold with more snow/ice opportunities
  13. Itryatgolf70
    That would be amazing to see anything remotely close to that scenario lol. We were lucky to be on the cold side of the storm. It would be a great way to end winter. I was living in Jonesboro ar then and we got between 11-12 inches snow between both events and snowing in the teens! Places se of little rock ar saw close to 25 inches!!
  14. Itryatgolf70
    Would that be more favorable for a quicker return to cold and stormy if that happens?
  15. Itryatgolf70
    I'm hoping the convection fires up in central pacific so we can perhaps get back to colder and stormier. I guess the consensus is it won't get cold at the earliest until mid February and if true, the clock is ticking for sure by then! Hopefully it will come in earlier if it happens
  16. Itryatgolf70
    Fwiw, Eric webb, who is usually decent with weather stuff, believes winter comes back earlier than we think. Around Feb 5th or shortly after. We will soon find out.
  17. Itryatgolf70
    We don't want it to be more niña like in February because most are blowtorches from experience. Typically a true niño is backloaded in February and early March. The AAM is important and you want it positive in winter to match everything else for more niño conditions imo
  18. Itryatgolf70
    Time is of an essence once we get to February, especially towards mid month. Sun angle becomes a big factor for most. I'm hoping it gets colder before mid month. Not as cold but stormier with better winter weather opportunities.
  19. Itryatgolf70
    A break is ok, but not the rest of the winter lol
  20. Itryatgolf70
    Snow and ice have been on the ground for close to a week and roads are still bad here. Getting somewhat better now. Longest stretch of cold in a while that I can remember. It will take alot to beat this in February or early March.
  21. Itryatgolf70
    The thing is as we approach February, the clock is ticking because sun angle gets higher, it gets darker later. I'm hoping it gets colder faster than most think and not delayed too long lol
  22. Itryatgolf70
    I hope we don't have dry cold if it does get cold again lol. I like as many opportunities as we can get. Just hope we don't squander February
  23. Itryatgolf70
    How do I read this graph? No expert like yourself lol
  24. Itryatgolf70
    I just hope we can get into some type colder pattern in February and stormier as well faster than some think. It's fun tracking
  25. Itryatgolf70
    Weaker niño then so I guess it is possible now.
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