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Itryatgolf70

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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70

  1. Itryatgolf70
    I think the sentiment is that we get a quick west coast ridge and then the jet extends and hopefully the mjo gets into colder phases and SSW kicks in for us later. Just guessing lol
  2. Itryatgolf70
    Feb 2015 into March 2015 was good here. We got three winter events in that timeframe.
  3. Itryatgolf70
    Don't think this has been a true niño. Hasn't acted like one totally. More of a mix of niña and niño. Most niños typically don't go into the warm phases of mjo. If they do, it's weak phases.
  4. Itryatgolf70
    Keep us updated with those maps please
  5. Itryatgolf70
    I definitely don't want a warm February. I want a few more opportunities at snow and ice here. Whatever is needed because we are fixing to get into that timeframe where sun angle makes a big difference here, especially mid Feb on
  6. Itryatgolf70
    Guys, congrats on breaking your snow drought. We got close to 6in here in jackson tn with it snowing the other day at 11 degrees! We under a WWA for light fzr now. Hoping for a few more opportunities in Feb and into March
  7. Itryatgolf70
    Guys, look on the bright side and this time next week we will be 50 degrees warmer most likely compared to just a few days ago
  8. Itryatgolf70
    I'm hoping for convection to fire in phase 1 or beginning of phase 2. Be best case scenario to have somewhat of a cold active February
  9. Itryatgolf70
    Heavy fzr drizzle here in jackson. Wrecks everywhere in my area!
  10. Itryatgolf70
    Hey guys. My area in jackson received close to 6in with it snowing in the low teens. Models were good, especially the Nam, icon, and gfs. Hrrr did well really close range. Hoping for one more opportunity this winter!!
  11. Itryatgolf70
    There is alot of cold fixing to enter the US in the next 7-10 days. Hopefully we don't miss our opportunity because if the mjo gets to the warm phases, that will delay things for a few weeks additionally and I don't want that personally bc I'm ready for a few winter weather opportunities. Winter is limited as it is in the south and if we keep kicking the can down the road, we will eventually lose road for the cans to be kicked on lol
  12. Itryatgolf70
    Bamwx has a good video this afternoon from twitter if you or anyone wants to listen. Good explanation on things.
  13. Itryatgolf70
    I know El Niños aren't notorious for alot of cold air, but we still have a ways to go to get a legit cold air source cold enough for snow and ice sleet here imo
  14. Itryatgolf70
    I haven't seen it, but I've heard a pretty big continental trough past day 10 setting up with 12zeps increasing snow mean through day 16 but still early
  15. Itryatgolf70
    SSW events are exciting if they happen here. Tough to decipher this far out. Southern sliders can benefit us all when they happen.
  16. Itryatgolf70
    A true SSW event will trump the mjo, especially if it sends some of it here and mjo isn't higher amplitude imo
  17. Itryatgolf70
    Overrunning will be quite difficult in an El Niño. Not unheard of but not likely imo.
  18. Itryatgolf70
    I took a week break from the forums and hopefully things get going and I'm hoping the mjo don't crawl through the warm phases and wasting a main winter month! February can be cold but it's only 28 days and then we battle the higher sun angle.
  19. Itryatgolf70
    I think it's attributed from the +EAMT weakening. I'm hoping we get the changes needed to favor a colder stormier pattern, or backloaded winter.
  20. Itryatgolf70
    You meant 1033mb? That's pretty good hp regardless
  21. Itryatgolf70
    I've heard the OLR charts are the real deal when it comes to how and where the mjo is and going in the future. Better than the rmm charts I think
  22. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, I'm wondering when the mjo will be able to get to the colder phases (8-2)? Warm phases aren't good for cold weather lol
  23. Itryatgolf70
    Mother nature has a way of balancing things out because December will have big departures, especially nw of here. I am hoping like most that we can get a colder stormier back end of winter.
  24. Itryatgolf70
    I won't give up on winter until mid January if things still look bleak then moving forward. After that, the clock is ticking with higher sun angle and other things. Higher elevations are ok because of just that.
  25. Itryatgolf70
    Remember this is only December 11th. Try to remain optimistic. Hopefully mother nature will give us our opportunity at cold and snow this winter but it definitely will be a while.
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