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WX-PA

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Everything posted by WX-PA

  1. Flurries and light sleet here in Dillsburg. Streamers making it pretty far west.
  2. I'd be surprised if GFS is right about Turkey Day. I mean a 6z miss?..Where have we seen that before?.And even though the parade will be wet, we do need that rain.
  3. Sun is equal to mid January..Nothing wrong with sun angle lol..BUT marginal temps seem to be the problem
  4. With snow on the ground for some?
  5. Some might see the first flakes next weekend especially inland
  6. We had a promising clipper come down in the middle of the month. Forecast was for snow..I think 2-4 inches but easterly winds were the killer. A brief period of wet snow over to rain.
  7. GFS is bringing November weather back.
  8. Some models picking up on rain on Sunday.Would really help out with the drought.
  9. It will definitely rain in November. We don't live in a desert.
  10. is 01-02 a analog?..There was one snow event in January..besides that there was no winter.
  11. Isn't the average mid November on the coast?
  12. We had 3 events of 3 inches in January..wasn't the worst winter..below normal but decent..22-23 was a nightmare.
  13. The average high in October is 70 at the beginning of the month to upper 50's by Halloween..So temps in the mid 60's are normal..October was really never cold.
  14. It looks warm but here's the problem with these 3 month weather forecasts. It says 1-2 degrees above normal temps for the winter as a whole, if correct. Doesn't mean it's going to be warm all the time..and yes guess what?..it could be wrong!...First lets get 3-7 day forecasts correct. No model can see ahead 2 months in advance. I hope we can look back on this post and say I told you so! If not it saves on heating bills lol.
  15. 2022 the lowest snowfall for NYC in history..Hope the winter doesn't continue the analog lol
  16. September was supposed to be warm..Take it with a grain of salt.
  17. You can get up to Dead Horse using the Daulton from Fairbanks..But Barrow it has to be a plane,,no roads out of the tolwn. Talk about being trapped lol..no escape from 40 below.
  18. Seems that way..Glad I'm in Central PA now. where climo. gives us more snow threats than the coast(South shore of Long Island formally)..But even here it's been way below normal the last 3 or 4 years. I guess these days it's hope for the best ,and see what you can get
  19. LOL..model has no cold air anywhere in the world just Alaska..The world is not heating up that much. Seems to me overdone especially in a La Nina winter. We wiill see.And it's an average of 2.0 for 3 months. Doesn't mean there wont be cold and snowy periods this winter.
  20. I understand but most use CPK as official metro NY records.
  21. It was last month August 2024 in CPK a degree of so below normal.
  22. Looks like a cool start in the 70's with the tropics starting to crank.No hint of 90+. Looks like that major heat might be over.
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