3K Nam has me freezing or below at all levels during the meat of this, from 15z Sat to 01z Sun, with .50 qpf, so I'm figuring 4-5" of snow if the 3k is right. Or is that too optimistic?
UK seemed to consolidate the lows this run as opposed to 12z with the dual lows at 96 hr. I think it will move further NW the next run. Still was a better solution than 12z.
Of course they are. I did leave the clown range caveat, but a bit more consistency over a 12 hour period would be welcomed. If solutions can be that different, why even bother going beyond 240 hrs? What's the point?
Yeah, look at the 2m temp anomaly change from 0z to 12z, lol, on 11/25 over the entire country and Canada. Up to 55F difference in southern Alberta and major differences in Eastern US. Clown range, but still...
18z GEFS maintains that ridge out west from d9-d15, and then relaxes it to more of a zonal flow near the end of the run. But 850s stay in single digits here with most days BN.