SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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They average like 200-300+ inches I would hope they'd get snow
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Most of our seasonal snowfall comes after mid Jan
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That might work out in late winter when wavelengths start to change I think Feb will be better than people expect
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If there's a Nino influence then spring may be quite pleasant
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There's definitely a change in the air although it may not seem like it. Pretty stout PNA spike is shown too. Getting into good climo territory as well. 22/23 looks interesting and maybe something beyond as well
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Euro loves over amplifying systems too.
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It's probably gonna snow at some point. As much as I would personally like to see futility records broken I don't see that happening. You had a double dip -4 AO in December, the PV is getting stretched beyond belief. At some point it's gonna snow. Hell it could pull a 2016 and dump one big blizzard on us.
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I'm getting strong 12/13 vibes.
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I think our best bet for snow is through SWFEs. You need the shortwaves to stay weak though. Even in bad patterns it can still find a way to snow and we're approaching our most favorable climo period for snow.
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The late weekend system + the early week shortwave create some confluence for the following one. Best case is some sort of SWFE which will benefit northern areas.
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Yeah there's enough time for it to do so
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It definitely feels like a late 90s winter.
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Really? Then that's the most pathetic +PNA I've ever seen.
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Does the GEFS show a partial SSW event. It really stretches that PV.
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If you like OP runs then Euro was a lot more promising than the GFS. It shows a PNA spike. CMC is somewhere in the middle Nice thing about the GEFS is that it restocks the cold supply over north america. That can really help if the SE ridge becomes a problem.
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Don't you think it's a bit naive to assume any of that will play out given it's 10-14+ days out at the minimum. What we've seen thus far this winter is that the -PNA always corrected stronger and the WAR ridging trended stronger as a result. I don't suspect that will change. Ssts are off the charts too off the New England & Atlantic coast further enhancing that probability Also what are the odds we rat the rest of the way and NYC sees 0 snow for the first time in recorded history.
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This is arguably the best model run of the season for eastern SNE within the 3-day time frame.
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Doesn't the PNA lose relevance by February. We were able to get the Feb 2013 snowstorm despite a deep western trough
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The weeklies looked promising Jan 25 - Feb 15 As long as the cold doesn't keep dumping west then it shouldn't be too bad
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What is your average snowfall and how much did you receive so far?
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Only one year was drier, the rest were wetter than normal. There's no dry trend as of now. Water temperatures are well above normal, which should continue with the mild winter and that'll favor more convection this spring/summer.
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Well we know which ones will verify What's with the weenies... obviously I meant the snowstorms will verify. Geez tough crowd
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I'm not taking it seriously I just think it's funny. It can't even generate a phantom snowstorm 10+ days out.
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GFS is a toaster bath. Cutter after cutter for the rest of January
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Desperate times
