SnoSki14
-
Posts
15,183 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnoSki14
-
The system is very hybrid like. Although there is a tropical core the system is stretched out like a subtropical system with tons of energy well to the NE. That energy is what will give us the rain/wind impacts up here. Just look at the HRRR
-
You're very annoying. It's going to rain tomorrow. There's massive feeder bands developing and will move north.
-
Strong pressure gradient and storm is stronger than forecast. Should be a very windy Saturday
-
The bar is very low indeed. Getting to double digits would be massive compared to last season. Hoping we get something like 15/16 with at least one biggie despite an overall warm winter.
-
I think it'll be less impactful and more dreadful to deal with. Rainfall totals look benign and outside of immediate coastal impacts there shouldn't be too much to deal with wind wise. Think of it as an early fall coastal storm with very poor timing sadly
-
That was a solid 7+ days of record setting temperatures that will skew the month well above normal (+2) against the warmer averages. And in the city lows are still struggling to drop below 60 so yes its been a very warm stretch. A few cooler days won't change that.
-
There will likely be a tropical connection too so I agree on locally much higher amounts. I think we need another full day of model runs before we know exactly what will happen.
-
Looks like Euro went in this direction too Also pretty remarkable how our supposed endless summer just sort of ended. Looks quite cool (highs at least) moving forward.
-
It should have some subtropical characteristics. The region off the SE coast is very warm.
-
Euro hasn't been doing the best lately
-
GFS moving in a wet direction for the weekend now. Some definite subtropical characteristics there. Overall pattern looks warm/wet with more muted highs and very high mins.
-
That's likely a tropical/subtropical system. Other models are showing some homebrew development and all that moisture could head straight towards us. The tendency so far this season has been east with systems so I'm not buying the more west GFS right now.
-
Notice he also has no counter to Bluewave's analysis regarding the supposed "Super" Nino and its refusal to couple.
-
We're straying from the WAR coastal hugger/inland tracks this year I see. Could be a good sign for winter if the WAR isn't as strong
-
Euro's Sandy forecast is still one of the greatest modeling performances I've ever seen.
-
Pattern looks pretty ripe for some homebrew tropical development with onshore flow pattern and big sprawling high east of New England.
-
I don't understand the dismissal of CC on our weather patterns to the point of flat out denial. Of course background warming is having an impact and a pretty substantial one at that. Also don't like when people say oh if so and so pattern today occurred in the past it would also be unfavorable for cold/snow. That might be true but to what extent and is it really the same kind of pattern.
-
How many strong to super Ninos had higher Atlantic ACE than east Pacific because with Margot & Nigel coming up & east Pacific staying quiet that looks very possible.
-
Of course this happens when the cooler season arrives. Oh well I guess I'll be wearing shorts til Thanksgiving
-
Huh? The -PNA/+EPO pattern is very Nina like to me. A stark contrast to June-August.
-
Even to 70W would've made a big difference in this instance
-
Lee couldn't even make it to 68W. Of course it wasn't going to be a good hit.
-
Love the look of these big poleward canes. Outflow is spectacular
-
Not sure what the hype was. Models weren't all that enthused and the timing was off.
-
It wouldn't surprise me if we went from summer to winter with barely any fall
