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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Models now showing a huge eastern ridge last few days of November and December with large trough west, default pattern last several years. Looking forward to the warmer weather as there's no need for this type of cold.
  2. SnoSki14
    It's back to a PNA driven pattern with a tempered NAO. Hopefully we see more blocking show up, it would help a lot this early in the season. EPS will probably be better.
  3. SnoSki14
    There's some potential last week of November if models are correct about the blocking however they've been very shifty as of late. The cold will also be quite marginal. GEFS would be a great pattern particularly from mid Dec onwards when climo becomes more favorable.
  4. SnoSki14
    Weather pattern next 2 weeks looks pretty dull honestly, surprised given some of the teleconnections/MJO. This has been a dry month too and that looks to continue, really hope that's not a theme heading forward. There's some blocking showing up but without a -EPO we're just dealing with a stale north Pacific airmass that'll bring near normal temps. I guess it could be much worse but not much to get excited about for a long time.
  5. SnoSki14
    These models always seem to be default warm.
  6. SnoSki14
    Euro Op has three coastals, not a bad thing to see this time of year.
  7. SnoSki14
    We'd be very lucky if that ends up being our December pattern. It's marginal but not too bad for snow chances as we get closer to winter with better climo.
  8. SnoSki14
    I'm not falling for this trick again. All signs show December being mostly mild however there's a window early on for some action. The cold air does look pretty depleted though as we lose the -EPO despite the favorable coastal pattern.
  9. SnoSki14
    Wow was that well thought out. Good luck this season, hopefully it verifies a little more optimistic than you have particularly further south.
  10. SnoSki14
    No teens but down to 21F, could get down to 20F next 20 minutes. Widespread upper teens and low 20s across the entire area, very impressive before November 15th. Sneaky cold tonight as well for areas that radiate. Could be even colder than this morning though wind chills will be a lot warmer.
  11. SnoSki14
    26F with dews in the low single digits, so pretty good chance at first teens of the season. Forecast is 21F.
  12. SnoSki14
    A complete waste of resources. I still can't get over how everyone screwed up last November even when it was very clear that we'd get hit by a moderate snowstorm hours in advance. And ever since then everything has been overkill.
  13. SnoSki14
    Pretty big differences between the Gfs & Euro LR. GFS hasn't been the best so I'd definitely side with the Euro/EPS. Looks wintry near Thanksgiving.
  14. SnoSki14
    Had some good light snows earlier, first of the season outside of a couple flurries with last week's cold shot. 34F now, nearly 30 degrees colder than 24hrs ago.
  15. SnoSki14
    It's solid light snow right now, def no flurries with that band.
  16. SnoSki14
    Getting flakes now with that band.
  17. SnoSki14
    Yes very likely now with things quickly cooling below 0C aloft with still a moist layer present.
  18. SnoSki14
    Temps leveling off at 39F, should hold or slowly drop for next 2-3 hours before more steady declines. Some moisture could make it's way on the form of snow showers if the HRRR is correct.
  19. SnoSki14
    Temps plummeting right now. Was around 55F a couple hours ago, must've dropped 10F over the past 20 minutes. Winds are gusty too. Down to 40F as of 9:30
  20. SnoSki14
    Thank goodness the arctic air goes away for a long time after Wednesday, it's too early for this stuff. Give me some nice 50s/60s please.
  21. SnoSki14
    Like Bluewave stated it's like a tiny ice cube in a massive hot ocean. I'm pretty sure you'll still get isolated cold periods for several more decades until the warmth overwhelms everything unless of course we do manage to curb our emissions over the next 30-50 years.
  22. SnoSki14
    Got down to 21 this morning, teens are a lock next Wednesday.
  23. SnoSki14
    First 20s of the season, hard to believe it was in the low 70s around this time Halloween night a mere 8-9 days ago.
  24. SnoSki14
    31F now, everyone goes below freezing tonight.
  25. SnoSki14
    Given how poorly the winter ended up after an early snowfall, I don't mind waiting. I'd rather not have a repeat of last year.
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