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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. A very warm winter is a lock but blocking could still create snowfall opportunities. I don't think we'll ever see a cold winter again.
  2. Feels like some people are still in denial that the climate has rapidly changed.
  3. Will be the only thing that'll prevent a 11/12 type winter
  4. I'll take 65-70F with low humidity for the rest of October.
  5. Me thinks the severe threat will be greater than expected. Getting ample sunshine with temps near 80
  6. Yes that's how pathetic things have been. I think it'll be easier if we just recognize it's gonna be like this every "fall". Our climate is warm & wet. Time to deal with it
  7. I don't want mid August weather in mid October. Good riddance to the crazy heat.
  8. I don't think that's how it works. It's warm for a reason, that reason being a very negative PDO and positive EPO. If those conditions stay present through late November then chances are they'll stick around for the winter. I don't know any winter where September-November torched and Dec-Feb were cold & snowy.
  9. The lack of October activity for a Nina has been very unusual
  10. Best opportunities will come early probably up till the new year and maybe late in the season. Jan-Feb will likely be very mild.
  11. Well it's different than what we've been having and at least it'll feel like fall for once.
  12. Yea it's coming starting Sunday. Look at the EPS, nice trough showing up in the east.
  13. Too early to say that but a day or two like that is possible. I'd go with low 70s though.
  14. October so far has had that cloudy, dreary feeling you get in autumn but with late summer temperatures & humidity. Very bizarre.
  15. Can we please stop taking anything he says seriously. I'm still waiting for the big global cooling he promised
  16. It's been very pleasant. No heat or a/c required. Could do without all those cloudy days though.
  17. An arctic shock is a definite possibility. We've seen an increase in brief Arctic pockets come and go. Something like that in 1st half of November wouldn't surprise me.
  18. MJO changes, dropping NAO & rising PNA makes me think this will adjust as we get closer. I'm already seeing that happen with EPS compared to a couple days ago
  19. Even near normal temps by next weekend will feel cold compared to what we've seen.
  20. I see the trough getting pushed further west and allowing a PNA to pop
  21. Indices support strong cooling by next weekend and beyond.
  22. Next week could easily put up the highest anomalies but the following week looks much cooler. It's too early to tell of course but tellies suggest cooler weather is coming. Raindancewx brought up 2011 as far as the ENSO state goes and we all know what happened that October.
  23. Probably a couple decades or so unless warming really speeds up. A much more pessimistic scenario would be by 2030 unless we see a massive reduction in emissions by then (very doubtful).
  24. It's been so warm that our lows are only 5-6 degrees from average highs. And next week looks even warmer than this one
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