Volcanic Winter
-
Posts
1,528 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Volcanic Winter
-
I’m averaging 39.9 on my home weather station for the month of February. Positively wintry compared to the 41.5 for January.
-
67 here currently. I could appreciate this if we at least had a quasi normal winter, but given this is occurring during one of the warmest winters ever with almost zero snowfall, I’m actually fairly disgusted by it. By all means, enjoy it guys. Someone should, right? I mean other than all the bugs I see just having a grand old time.
-
Snowman (or anyone), regarding the persistence of the Southeast ridge, what do you see as needing to occur to finally see its winter influence reduced? Is an ENSO shakeup enough or is it more deeply tied to SST forcings in other areas? This is something I don’t know much about but am curious to learn.
-
Lows still look solidly AN, though highs are a definite improvement. What’s been happening to the nightly low temperatures has been the scariest aspect of our 2016+ climate regime, IMO. Especially noticeable in the city with the full brunt of the UHI, but everywhere lately apparently can’t even approach average nightly lows. This year we needed unmitigated arctic cold to get below average at night, and haven’t been anywhere close since.
-
It’s crazy how much worse this DJF period would look if Dec didn’t feature the cold shots and stretch of slightly BN temps that it did. It’s keeping the DJF average from looking more extreme. Would be a lot more digestible this year if we just had a super front and back loaded winter with snow only in Dec and March. We know one of those didn’t happen, but how about the other? If the SSW enacts a surface response and we see an -NAO, I gotta believe NYC gets a pity advisory / warning event out of it. My expectations are thoroughly welded to the floor, but hey, you never know, right? At least the unfolding shakeup leaves the door open to at least see a flake before the spring summer torching begins. Also, was just up in Danbury CT for my birthday with my wifey. We had a great little trip, but it felt so wrong being in parks at almost 1k ft elevation with not a single snow pile anywhere to be seen:
-
That sucks man, sorry to hear that. You live in a very beautiful area, my wife and I have been absolutely loving our trip up here.
-
I haven’t been following things too closely as we’ve been on a trip, but do you think there’ll be any sort of improvement at the end of the month into March? Any chance for cold and snow, or is it still a long shot. Just curious, seemed like it was still all over the place with at least some potential when I left. Not expecting any miracles of course, I’ll settle for an advisory event at this point. Thanks
-
Wife and I are up in Danbury CT area. Really nice up here. Perfect, except for the bare ass ground . Definitely expected snow on the ground when we planned this trip, we’re also nearly one thousand feet elevation in this park, too. You know this winter sucks when there’s not a single pile of snow anywhere near here. At least we’re having a fun time despite.
-
Man, this winter couldn’t be any more depressing. My wife and I are a taking a trip up to Connecticut for my birthday weekend and are gonna spend some time outdoors. Was planning to hike a few of the parks in the hills of NW CT, and at the time we planned this, thought it unlikely we wouldn’t be able to get into some snow. Little did I know we’d damn near have to go to the Canadian border this winter… We’ll still have fun I’m sure, but just… ugh. What a winter.
-
55 back here in Toms River / Manchester. Home early today, starting a nice vacation week. If only snow wasn’t seemingly a metaphysical impossibility this weekend …
-
Bluewave, Don, etc; is NYC approaching any kind of record for number of DJF days above freezing, or without lows going below freezing at all? Curious about that. Thank you guys.
-
Had to run over to Bayonne and it feels much cooler than EWR. Haven’t checked temps or anything but noticeable difference in air feel, unless I’m mistaken. May be due to breeze? Feels windier here.
-
I’m near EWR right now and it’s unbelievably mild already. Feels absolutely like spring.
-
Man, am I happy 1/29 worked out for me last year. Didn’t realize how much I’d be clinging to that storm. I will ALWAYS take the cold, always. I know occasionally it works against us, I know it’s not always “needed,” but there was nothing sweeter than getting 16 inches of powder at a wintry 22f. There is nothing worse than a good track coastal with temp issues even up through NYC. That’s just… painful. I’m expecting nothing but counting rain bands down here, but I really hope you guys further north get something out of this. Fingers crossed.
-
In all seriousness, thought it was okay for the GFS to show a storm to the south at this point as it normally corrects NW with time? Or is that no longer something the GFS does / and or not applicable in this set up? Genuinely asking. Didn’t have any expectations anyway as it seemed very, very low odds of a favorable outcome without any support from other models and warm temp profile.
-
Wow, 10,211.7 inches of snow in NC has to be close to the record snowfall, no?
-
Don’t forget Youtube-ology. That’s when you make a YouTube channel with -science in the name and make videos about how Yellowstone is going to blow any day now and wipe out the US.
-
Cool. If we get something, great. If not, just more of the same. In a year like this I’ll take the SSW and roll the dice every time, though. We’ll see what happens.
-
I guess if it’s real the models will start to have to pick up on the SSW eventually, yes? Based on the earlier charts it looks like the SPV winds slow down and potentially reverse sometime next week. When would that potentially be felt in the troposphere, probably the beginning of March? I know it varies, guess I’m just asking for any additional info on it. To be explicit, I’m asking about the SSW because it’s meteorologically interesting to me, not because I have any expectation of a late season “save” or anything. I’d be thrilled if we can even get a pity advisory event before spring proper, but I’m more or less resigned to our snowless season. I do find this stuff fascinating though (SSW events), and I’m here because I enjoy learning things.
-
-
I mean from a track standpoint it looks pretty good to me, the problem of course is that everything is torched up through CNE. Seems like it would take some big changes from the OP depiction to have a chance. I’ll have my umbrella handy.
-
I’m so excited for our 7 months of 80+ degrees after a snowless winter. Definitely wasn’t expecting to hate a winter more than 19-20 so quickly. Extremely frustrating. I’ll take the SSW if it occurs, because honestly why not? I know some people will be bummed if it cools down early spring, but I assure you, the summer inferno is coming one way or another. You’ll get your incendiary temperatures soon enough.
-
I’m going back to our slant sticked .4 inches and reliving that in all its glory. What a flizzard.
-
Only made it down to 8F here for a low. I hit 7F in the Christmas cold shot, down here (TR Manchester border) this one wasn’t too notable. Makes sense as the core of the cold pushed ENE of the Metro (interesting how the easternmost part of LI had colder temps).
-
Aspirational. My wife stopped to pick me up my favorite winter beer release; Nugget Nectar. Unfortunately our liquor store didn’t have but she felt this was a suitable replacement. Would have to agree. Yum.
