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Volcanic Winter

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Everything posted by Volcanic Winter

  1. Volcanic Winter
    I'll take what I can get but part of the appeal for me was that this was to be an area wide event. Don't want anyone getting screwed...
  2. Volcanic Winter
  3. Volcanic Winter
    Gross January.
  4. Volcanic Winter
    “March, will you suck too?”
  5. Volcanic Winter
    I was definitely kidding, but it’s that kind of winter where an inch feels like a jackpot .
  6. Volcanic Winter
    Stop bragging, it’s unbecoming.
  7. Volcanic Winter
    ACY jackpot. Should I chase? Only an hour south of me.
  8. Volcanic Winter
    This was such a good storm, honestly. 16 inches down my way as I’ve shared previously, but what made this storm really fun was the 22f temps at time of peak snowfall. Cold storm with perfect powder. Best storm for my area since 2018. But Feb 2021 was great where I work (Hillside), 18 Inches here in that one.
  9. Volcanic Winter
    There’s a coastal on the GFS with a reasonably good track; it’s rain up to coastal Maine. The thermals are a problem for everything this year.
  10. Volcanic Winter
    No joke Sandy was nuts down here. My parents live on the barrier islands…. Crazy time. Also the most pitiful flurry going over in Hillside. Roughly 10 flakes /hr. I’ll take it?
  11. Volcanic Winter
    I often think about how a standard issue “cold” LIA winter would be viewed today in the northeast (really Virginia to Maine). I don’t even mean the harshest winters of that era, just a more typical cold winter. It would seem crazy to us now. I think Bluewave posted temperature records going back a ways and even in the era after the LIA but before warming accelerated, the average temperatures of a “normal” winter were just so much colder than anything we have a frame of reference for today. Obviously we’re lucky to live in a better era as a society nowadays, but I absolutely wish I could time travel back to experience what real east coast winters were like. Read up on (anyone) what the 1810’s were supposed to be like in the wake of the monstrous “mystery’’ eruption of 1808/9 and then the even larger Tambora in 1815. Supposedly this decade is one of the coldest known. But hey, now we have frequent non - winters and people hate snow anyway, so win?
  12. Volcanic Winter
    Nah, signed up last January (before Hunga Tonga erupted, funnily enough). Began reading the forums I believe last November before making an account. 2021 unfortunately was much less eventful down my ways, still got snow but not nearly the bombardment up north received. The big Feb 1 storm gave me at my house 5-6 inches but 18+ at my work west of NYC. Was a fun up at work at least.
  13. Volcanic Winter
    Most of these systems have even brought rain into SNE. CT has something like 0-4 inches on the season south to north. This is awful for everyone not in interior / NNE, and even most of them are well below averages.
  14. Volcanic Winter
    Sorry man, this is brutal. Not even having the excitement of a trackable event even if it doesn’t pan out for one area or another is especially tough. It just feels like an endless shutout without any dopamine injection from a model showing at least a quasi-favorable outcome in the short range. Most fun I’ve had on AmericanWX was in the lead up to 1/29/22, and second most fun was going back and skimming the threads from old storms the past decade.
  15. Volcanic Winter
    I should’ve savored the 09-16 period more than I did. Lived all over the state in that timeframe and just had too much going on to really appreciate it, but I have a feeling that will end up the best six - seven year stretch of winters (yes even with a bad one in there, lot easier to take sandwhiched between great winters) I’m likely to see. Was in Long Branch for that Dec 09 crushjob, then North Brunswick for Boxing Day, ultimately landing where I am now just before the 13-16 period where I actually had snow that persisted for weeks at a time. Obviously a rarity down here, because it requires a real winter not transient cold shots muted by torch.
  16. Volcanic Winter
    Can’t wait to be outside taking pictures of 0.4 inches (sorry, eternal optimist) of snow like a complete degenerate.
  17. Volcanic Winter
    The consistency of the RGEM holding the weak wave is interesting. It did subtly shift the best snow to far south Jersey, but at least it’s still showing something area wide. It’s really not comforting how little the other models want to do with this (CMC went south), I would have to imagine something would begin to cave by tonight? Either the RGEM just sniffed this one out or it’ll dissipate into the ether.
  18. Volcanic Winter
    For the stat gurus; in winters with strong December blocking that later returned, when did that typically occur? I'm assuming it varies? Also realize there are cases where it didn't return. Wondering if there's any chance we'll get a pity block in March. Regardless, it's very polite of the TPV to lift out of the NE in time for our next rainstorm.
  19. Volcanic Winter
    NYC - *Goes all of January without a dropping below 32f.* Also NYC - *Drops below zero but warms up in time for the next rain storm* Winter of 2023, now in Ludlum’s newest book, “Shitty Winters of the East Coast.”
  20. Volcanic Winter
    I’ll make poutine in celebration if they end up right. Nice broad area hit, we need this.
  21. Volcanic Winter
    I was the dude at the back of the roulette tables checking the GFS.
  22. Volcanic Winter
    RGEM has a nice quick hit for everybody, though at the end of its range. I know the NAM isn't great towards the end of it range but I'm not as familiar with the RGEM.
  23. Volcanic Winter
    Amazing! Proper weenie roast.
  24. Volcanic Winter
    So what does it mean when I’m in ACY with my wife and spending more time checking the models than gambling? After a couple drinks checking the models feels more like emotional gambling than getting fleeced on roulette or something.
  25. Volcanic Winter
    Would like to see a positive trend for a change. Don’t think it’s unreasonable to say we’re due when literally everything has broken the opposite direction since Dec 1st. I know many SNE people are really hurting too, we need a region wide moderate snowfall. Even if that’s it for the rest of the way, let’s avoid an all out catastrophe with at least something that could be construed as fun to track and experience. Might be asking too much given the way things are going, but as mentioned I’m leaving the door cracked enough for a pleasant surprise. If not, well no one could argue it isn’t fitting…
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