Volcanic Winter

I had 16+, recently checked out the maps for 1/29/22 and I was definitely just shy of the local max which you caught more of. I had 18 in 1/4/18 too, local max in Ocean was like 22 for that one. I like where we're at, the sleet threat is real but we've been the QPF max in NJ for a bit now. It's going to be a dice roll but we'll either jackpot or still do very well and sleet at the end, rain is possible but for now I'll wait to see how the north shift evolves. I still think CNJ (as in middle third of the state, not cultural CNJ) is going to do extremely well. Hopefully the entire metro gets a major storm.

I’m at around 10+ down here inland Toms River, checks out. Nice map!

Bottomed out at 3F down here, not bad! Had to break out my heavier down jacket for the first time in a while. This is the lowest recorded temp since I’ve installed my Tempest in March 2022. Today should feel positively balmy warming up to the mid - upper 30’s.

It’s impressive to me in context of the unrelenting warmth of many of the 2020s winters and with respect to the fact it was like 8pm when I made the comment. Overnight low, no - I’ve already been below that a couple times during good radiative cooling overnights . At 8pm? To me that’s “real cold” for the region ‘beneath’ upstate NY / Sussex. No, not historic - just more significant than other ‘cold’ we’ve had. To clarify. Context always matters and sometimes we don’t add enough of it in these modern times, myself included. Down to 7 now. And yeah, I think being at 10 at 8pm is more impressive than 7 by midnight. At least here at the ass end near the pines. Edit: 5F at 3:30a. Exceeded my minimum from Dec, now coldest of the season Now 4F

10F atm, truly impressive cold.

What’s left on the driveway is a crunchy immovable glacier, looks and feels like real winter again. 18F overnight low. 2 inches measured on a truck bed, bit less on blacktop / walkway. Not bad at all, looking ahead to what seems to be real cold coming our way and hopefully storm chances that aren’t squashed to Georgia.

2 inches all said and done here. Came down pretty fast once it finally started. About 11 on the season.

Finally snowing and sticking Toms River / Manchester border. Moderate intensity. 32.7 / 32

Mt Holly’s bearishness down here was warranted I think, lot of the models ultimately showed little to nothing in kuchera after the stormed move back NW a bit the past couple days. Air is stale. Still crazy to be at 32 and change and not even be mixing, still rain here. But that tells the story; looking ahead… —— Enjoy the snow guys! Nice snowy weekend for everyone!

Rain at 32.7/32 down here. Not mix, pure rain. edit: now 32.4 / 31.9 Have to say I think this is the coldest surface temp / dew I’ve seen be plain rain that I can recall. Should flip in a bit and maybe snag an inch, we’ll see.

@LibertyBell You good buddy? Miss ya this winter. You always had some interesting thoughts and questions, hope you’re well!

I was leaving work in Union the day it hit and it was one of my sketchiest Parkway rides in 15 years. Was a ghost town, which is rare even in snow events. Was in a 2010 F150 and probably averaged 25-30mph the whole way, I remember visibility at times was dreadful. We got about 18 inches down my ways, and some spots near me according to snow maps maxed around 20-21. Was pretty close to a proper regional HECS, just needed some tweaks. Feel similarly about 1/29/22, few shifts away from a HECS - that thing was a monster.

Starting off January with an average temp of 24.6 degrees, low max of 15 and high 36. I know it’s only a few days but interesting nonetheless. Cold start.

I’m a vampire, don’t judge!

Sure it's not COVID? I had it last year in December, came down with it while in Iceland for our first winter trip. Absolutely sucked and I did everything in my power not to let it ruin our trip, which was difficult when it's built around hiking and outdoor activity. But the painful breathing (like vague sense of soreness when you take a deep breath) has been a hallmark symptom of having COVID pretty good. I suppose ultimately it doesn't really matter much anymore, but yeah. Feel better!

Counterpoint: People who hate cold can dress warmer, including indoors. People heat intolerant can’t strip to their birthday suit … legally. When in winter dress appropriately if you run cold, I can’t stand people complaining indoors during the winter that the heat isn’t high enough - you have ways to mitigate that I do not in the reverse.

I’d have to agree, having appreciable cold throughout Dec with multiple snow events for the entire north / south extant of the inner and suburban metro is beyond a doubt fantastic. I think I saw some of our Orange county area posters have well into double digit snows (or was it 20+?), LI did well I think, and down here at the ass end I have nearly 10 inches to kick off winter. Short of the big KU event Decembers like 09, 10, and was it 20? - Really have to take your chips and go on this one. January might go bad, or it might perk up toward the back nine - we’ll find out. Then we have another month+ to get our act together, and given the stats on December snow I’ll place my bets this doesn’t rat to close out. I’m thinking good Dec, solid in summation will probably be the tenor come the end of March. And that’s fine in the face of multiple horrid winters this decade. My Dec average was 33.2 with a low max of 10.2.

Really beautiful this morning, never underestimate how nice even a small coating of fresh powder in proper cold can be. Great New Years, storm or no storm. That squall was fascinating for those that were up for it. And then that burst overnight was the cherry on top.

It was a very impressive looking storm on satellite combined with a local max in my area so it’s one I remember fondly. But yeah, that period was unbelievable. I grew up through so many central NJ snowstorms they blend together - and I mean big dogs. Not 2-6 events. Lived between Monmouth and Middlesex the first half of that period and down where I am now in northern Ocean the second half.

Got down to 16, then came up to 22 and is now snowing! Awesome winter day with that squall this morning. Never got warmer than 27 after that. Frankly this might be my favorite winter day in a long time, monster storm not required. @NorthShoreWx Same conditions to your southwest here along the western border of Toms River. It’s getting us both atm. Absolutely beautiful out right now.

Best rates of the winter for me so far, easily eclipsing the mid December event that put 7+ down for me.

RIPPING right now with strong wind.

Squall warning for my area now too …

LI crew and @The 4 Seasons remember 1/4/18? That was an absolute monster for my area, LI, and much of NE. Actually looking at the snow map reminds me a lot of 1/29/22. Don’t think I ever realized how much snow that one dropped in northern Maine… And wow, I also didn’t realize 1/22/29 had some crazy maxes right around me. I’m pretty much spot on the left point in the 1 where it says 16 on this map over Toms River, and that’s about exactly what I had in that storm. But I just missed out on local maxes of 18-19 and apparently 21! Crazy. This one also crushed LI… really crushed, like 25 inches I recall? And the city + immediate metro did a bit better than in 1/4/18; a bit spottier in New England but some areas also got absolutely crushed IIRC. Both storms seem as if they were a 50ish mile westward shift away from being properly historic.