George001

Didn’t March 2018 also have a trough out west? There can be a trough in both the east and west.

Where’s my snow? There is barely anything outside!

Anyways, back to weather it looks like the gfs came north for Thursday.

I thought you were out of line, I strongly believe you should not say anything online to someone that you wouldn’t say to their face. If you freely go around telling people you don’t like to get back on their bi polar meds to their faces, you would probably get your face caved in.

I don’t think accusing someone of being bipolar and “off their meds” is a comparison. You are just being a dick for no reason because my posts annoy you, that’s it, and you used mental illness as an insult. What a bitch move pretending you were making a “comparison” rather than just being a dick because you don’t like my posts. Im with you on the anti PC thing though, so how about this? There is nothing I hate more than fake “tough guys” hiding behind a keyboard and talking shit. At the next GTG, you and me meet outside half an hour early and settle our differences with our fists. If you show up and win the fight, then maybe I’ll start listening to what you have to say. If not, I don’t ever want to see your miserable ass replying to my posts again. You don’t reply to my posts, and I won’t reply to yours.

It’s coming tomorrow. With every run the storm keeps trending more north.

It will come north, but the rgem has a warm bias with surface temps. Looks like a lot of ice and sleet for many areas in SNE.

Btw, that making fun of mental illness nonsense was unnecessary. People actually struggle with that shit you know, it’s not a joke. Seriously, go fuck yourself for that.

Get lost dipshit, I never said winter was over. I said this winter has been snowless and mild, which it has. So I got excited about rain, because guess what, you can’t control the weather so you may as well enjoy the weather you get.

I’ve been burnt quite a bit after making posts like this, but man the upcoming pattern looks exciting. Better than anything we have seen all winter. I could be conservative and say “tamed down 2018, etc”, but fuck that! Extreme weather can and does happen, and there are signs that it’s coming on the models. Im calling for eastern Mass to finish the season with above normal snowfall, that’s how much snow I think we will get in March based on the recent guidance. Yes, there is a western trough but with the strong blocking expected to develop the SE ridge will be suppressed south with a broad conus trough in place. I’d rather we get cold and snow spread out throughout the winter with a snowpack built up, but it is what it is. If this pattern delivers to it’s potential it’s going to be one hell of a month.

It’s been a while since I saw something that excited me on the models, but this upcoming period looks like it could be something special. This threat and the following 2 aren’t even SSW driven, but it looks like that is going to come down in March. Sometimes it doesn’t ever come down, but I really think it will this year based on what I’m seeing on the models for early March.

It’s coming north, take em up. 4-8 for all of eastern mass with isolated double digits in the jackpot areas.

That could easily end up being the snowier event of the next 2 coming up. For my area anyways it looks im too far south for the Thursday one to stay snow, and will be getting more sleet and ice based on what the models are saying. I’m not really buying those gfs 10:1 snow maps since they count sleet and ice as snow.

Yeah it’s nice out today

That’s why I started tracking and getting excited about rainstorms and torches as well, only tracking snowstorms was just getting me frustrated and it wasn’t fun anymore, so I made the decision to start getting excited about warmer weather and rainstorms too. That gave me a lot more enjoyment with this “winter”, despite it not really being much of a winter at all. Instead of getting upset about what we can’t control, why not make the best of the weather we get?

It’s coming north, in these events a few days out if you are on the southern edge of the snow axis, you likely aren’t getting much snow. For these SWFE events you want to be north enough to have a good 100 miles of wiggle room at this stage of tracking, not 10-20 miles.

We need the Pope on board

It will come north.

Vomit

Strong high to the north leading to frigid temps despite a low running inland. We’re getting a huge ice storm on Thursday, the SE ridge is really powerful and supports the idea of the low coming north.

Im sure there’s a weenie over in Tolland, CT that is happy to hear that.

The pattern does support a big ice storm

This winter is approaching 2011-2012 territory

The winter as a whole is likely beyond saving in SNE at this point but that doesn’t mean we can’t get a big storm in March. Hell, wasn’t 1996-1997 a ratter outside that big April blizzard? Even bad winters often have at least one big (12+) storm. Regardless, have to give credit where it’s due. Boston is at 8 inches of snow for the entire season and it’s mid Feb, and the seasonal average is in the mid 40s. The Pope was dead on with his winter forecast. I will certainly be keeping an eye on the geese next fall to clue me in on what to expect next winter. My winter forecast was a huge bust (again), but we live and learn.

Yeah It’s a straight up modoki Nina now, not what we want to see. What would be really nice is if we went into a multi year nino cycle, with 2-3 consecutive ninos of weak to moderate strength (maybe a moderate one next year and then 2 weak ones after). If that pans out it could lead to a good stretch of winters.