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Everything posted by George001
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Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Gfs looks north -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Icon looked weak and strung out but also came north. Strange run. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. Fuck it, I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
qqomega, he thought Kevin would be in the 60s, but he got a massive ice storm. -
That’s completely fair, and honestly I somewhat agree. 50-60 is above average for Boston but it isn’t crazy or anything (though getting to that from where we are now would be kind of nuts). I’d rather get a 50 inch winter with cold and an established snowpack than nothing and making it up in March, but at this point the former isn’t an option. It’s not really about saving the winter for me, it’s more about making the best of a bad winter. If we make the best of a bad winter by getting an epic March that takes the Boston area to 50 inches on the season, I’ll be very happy with that. I don’t consider last winter to have been a good winter, but I loved every bit of that late Jan blizzard that gave me 20 inches of snow.
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Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Ok I’ll be honest, I want Tblizz to rain! He’s been very negative about this storm threat and mehing it despite things looking great. Even the Pope is on board, and him going against the pope makes me angry! -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
I’m rooting for a low in the 970s to go over the canal. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
My area got buried in Jan 2011, and both of those storms went over the cape. Just need a strong enough storm, I’m not worried about rain as long as the low is to my SE. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
I don’t care who is getting the most snow, I just want more snow in my backyard. I believe my area would do well if it trends north enough to bring the low over the cape, but the low would also need to trend stronger. -
Boston will be above average by the end of the winter. I think Boston ends up with 50-60.
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The models cut the Miller B coming this Tuesday as well. With the blocking that will also turn into a Miller B.
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Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
I disagree, I want it to keep trending north. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
I think it will come north more, but not a lot. The blocking forces the low to redevelop, but that doesn’t mean it will go over the benchmark and give snow to the mid Atlantic and cape. Most guidance is inside the benchmark, not over it. It is very possible that the low ends up going over the canal, leading to rain snow line issues. It wouldn’t take a massive north adjustment for that to happen, and I really think that’s more likely than the jackpot being SE. Honestly, I’m rooting for that because it would mean a stronger storm even though my area wouldn’t be the jackpot with that track. I’d rather get 20 while someone north of me gets 30 than get 15 while everyone else gets 12, so I say bring on the north trends. In this scenario, Tblizz and Metfan would get some rain. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Looks like the guidance beefed up a bit from last night, but not as much as the Euro yesterday. That’s a great look, strong consensus for 12-18 inches of snow and it’s very close to being quite a bit more. The NAO is negative and there is a strong low tracking to our SE. If the bust scenario is “only” a foot, that’s how you know we have a monster on our hands. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Is it just me or does the northern shortwave look closer to phasing in? -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Yeah the models arent showing what the Euro did yesterday, but the important thing is they moved away from the cutter and are showing a Miller B now. Im not buying a progressive solution at all, in my opinion they will start trending back to yesterday’s Euro run over the next couple of days due to the blocking. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
It’s not 6-10, it’s 12-18 even on the weaker runs. -
Behind Feb 28th- March 1st Miller B there is another huge storm behind it on the models. It is cutting right now yes, but I am noticing a strengthening signal for secondary redevelopment. The crazy thing is, as strong as the late Feb/Early March storm looks to be, the one right behind it looks just as big if not bigger.
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Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
This does have more upside if the Euro is right but even if the other models are right that would be a great result. 12-18 inches with another monster a few days later. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
George001 replied to George001's topic in New England
Congrats Philly DC isn’t going to happen, not in a Miller B. -
It’s coming, the models had this storm cutting for a while but over the past few cycles it redeveloped further and further south. Now it is looking like a full blown Miller B, with the models showing not only showing 24+ hours of heavy snow, but they are also showing strong winds. With the model consensus rapidly converging on the long duration Miller B solution rather than cutter, it is likely we are looking at a New England blizzard, with the potential to become a historic blizzard (top 10 all time) in the Boston area.