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George001

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  1. George001
    The key word is potential, and that’s still on the table if the northern energy phases in (lower probability now yes, but still possible). Not every storm reaches its potential, 12-18 inches is still one hell of a storm and is very much thread worthy. It’s still a bust compared to a top 10 blizzard, but its a big difference than calling for a blizzard and getting nothing. I’d say that calling for Kev to get 60 during the last storm from qqomega was just as “ban worthy” as a busted snow forecast (Not at all if you ask me). It’s weather, we all bust sometimes. In 2015 qqomega, torch tiger, snowman19 would have been just as bad as I was in December.
  2. George001
    Then let’s ban all the people who hyped up the December pattern too.
  3. George001
    A busted forecast is not ban worthy, so there really isn’t any reason for either of us to be banned. Looks like that’s a no to taking me up on that bet, so I’ll call it off.
  4. George001
    Euro is out to sea on the last run, but yeah that looked ugly on the euro for a few cycles. It made a massive shift at 0z.
  5. George001
    It’s not the same type of storm yes, but the swfe/Miller B hybrid that this looks to be is another way we can get buried, a long duration firehose like March 2013. There were a couple of those in Feb 2015 I’m pretty sure too, one on the 2nd and one on the 8th-10th. We just need a bit more northern stream injection.
  6. George001
    The models often lose it and bring it back for the big ones.
  7. George001
    Im going to double down and make a bet. Over under is 16 for BOS. If BOS gets less than 16, I get banned for a month, and if BOS gets more, you get banned for a month. Btw, the offer to meet in person at the next gtg and settle our differences with our fists is still on the table.
  8. George001
    It will come north.
  9. George001
    If you are trying to imply it’s too late, that’s nonsense. Hell, I would argue that March is quite a bit more favorable for big snows than December. It’s really only the last week of March that is really unfavorable, where as December it’s really only the last week that’s favorable.
  10. George001
    I like that 976 member
  11. George001
    March 4th threat looks interesting on gfs and Canadian. I didn’t like what I saw from the Euro and EPS for that one at 12z, but it’s a good start to the 0z suite for that threat. Even though we had a couple bad Euro cycles for that one I still like that potential. It is very possible we get hit by both the 28th-1st and 4th.
  12. George001
    Gfs looks north
  13. George001
    Icon looked weak and strung out but also came north. Strange run.
  14. George001
    If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. Fuck it, I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland.
  15. George001
    qqomega, he thought Kevin would be in the 60s, but he got a massive ice storm.
  16. George001
    That’s completely fair, and honestly I somewhat agree. 50-60 is above average for Boston but it isn’t crazy or anything (though getting to that from where we are now would be kind of nuts). I’d rather get a 50 inch winter with cold and an established snowpack than nothing and making it up in March, but at this point the former isn’t an option. It’s not really about saving the winter for me, it’s more about making the best of a bad winter. If we make the best of a bad winter by getting an epic March that takes the Boston area to 50 inches on the season, I’ll be very happy with that. I don’t consider last winter to have been a good winter, but I loved every bit of that late Jan blizzard that gave me 20 inches of snow.
  17. George001
    Ok I’ll be honest, I want Tblizz to rain! He’s been very negative about this storm threat and mehing it despite things looking great. Even the Pope is on board, and him going against the pope makes me angry!
  18. George001
    I’m rooting for a low in the 970s to go over the canal.
  19. George001
    My area got buried in Jan 2011, and both of those storms went over the cape. Just need a strong enough storm, I’m not worried about rain as long as the low is to my SE.
  20. George001
    I don’t care who is getting the most snow, I just want more snow in my backyard. I believe my area would do well if it trends north enough to bring the low over the cape, but the low would also need to trend stronger.
  21. George001
    Boston will be above average by the end of the winter. I think Boston ends up with 50-60.
  22. George001
    The models cut the Miller B coming this Tuesday as well. With the blocking that will also turn into a Miller B.
  23. George001
    I disagree, I want it to keep trending north.
  24. George001
    I think it will come north more, but not a lot. The blocking forces the low to redevelop, but that doesn’t mean it will go over the benchmark and give snow to the mid Atlantic and cape. Most guidance is inside the benchmark, not over it. It is very possible that the low ends up going over the canal, leading to rain snow line issues. It wouldn’t take a massive north adjustment for that to happen, and I really think that’s more likely than the jackpot being SE. Honestly, I’m rooting for that because it would mean a stronger storm even though my area wouldn’t be the jackpot with that track. I’d rather get 20 while someone north of me gets 30 than get 15 while everyone else gets 12, so I say bring on the north trends. In this scenario, Tblizz and Metfan would get some rain.
  25. George001
    Looks like the guidance beefed up a bit from last night, but not as much as the Euro yesterday. That’s a great look, strong consensus for 12-18 inches of snow and it’s very close to being quite a bit more. The NAO is negative and there is a strong low tracking to our SE. If the bust scenario is “only” a foot, that’s how you know we have a monster on our hands.
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