George001

Yep, a step in the right direction. Lets get that 50 miles more north. I would much rather be rooting for a north than a south trend at this stage, they nearly always trend north inside 5 days.

Close to Boston, an ideal track for bigger snow would be about 50-100 miles SE, but that run will do.

I hope it has the right idea, my area does mix at the height of the storm but there is a lot of snow with that solution.

Gfs has a monster storm again for the 4th

I hope the gfs has the right idea, gives eastern areas about a foot.

The 28th storm will come north.

Yesterday it was north, today it went south, and now it’s going to come back north.

Qqomega, if you actually have a minor in atmospheric science and it was your major for two years, you clearly forgot everything you learned.

What the hell….. you are always hyping up warmth like Torch Tiger, and your forecasts are often horribly wrong. Even when they are right, they are right for the wrong reasons (saw a lot of that this year). If you actually like snow, that’s sad. If you actually believe the shit you post this hobby must make you miserable. There are some posters who have been negative about this winter in the east (Allsnow, Pope, Raindance, etc) but they actually have sound reasoning behind why they believed this winter would suck, and they have called for big snow in the past. You just always forecast warmth, and got lucky this year. If you love snow I have no idea what your endgame is here.

We are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but you are just as much of a weenie as I am. It’s similar in concept to the horseshoe theory. You like warmer weather, I like cold and snow. Neither of us are particularly knowledgeable about meteorology, and there is a lot of bias in both of our posts. There isn’t anything wrong with being a weenie who doesn’t understand the physical mechanisms driving our weather, but you gotta own up to it man.

The gfs is a beast for March 4th, it does exactly what I was rooting for the 28th storm to do, it goes over the canal and deepens to the 970s. Man that would be something, that’s gotta be nearly half a foot of sleet for some areas in SE Mass verbatim.

Gfs looks great

Anyways, back to the storm at hand. Even if the more pedestrian guidance is right and we get 8, that’s still a really good storm. So what, it didn’t reach its fullest potential. There is nothing we can do about it, so it’s wasted energy to let it piss you off. Last years blizzard left some on the table too, most storms do. If you can only appreciate storms that reach their ceiling this hobby would be miserable, and there wouldn’t be any point in engaging in it.

Honestly I don’t agree with him being 5 posted. He is just as much of a weenie as I am, but he likes warmer weather while I like snow and cold. I don’t see anything wrong with that, people just don’t like him rooting for record warmth because most of this board likes cold and snow. He gets all kinds of shit for posting a long range gfs run showing a torch, yet when people post long range snow maps, that’s ok? Nah that’s bullshit, this is a weather board, not a “root for snow or else” board. If you ask me, neither of us should be 5 posted but if weenies aren’t going to be allowed anymore, logically it makes sense to 5 post both of us.

The key word is potential, and that’s still on the table if the northern energy phases in (lower probability now yes, but still possible). Not every storm reaches its potential, 12-18 inches is still one hell of a storm and is very much thread worthy. It’s still a bust compared to a top 10 blizzard, but its a big difference than calling for a blizzard and getting nothing. I’d say that calling for Kev to get 60 during the last storm from qqomega was just as “ban worthy” as a busted snow forecast (Not at all if you ask me). It’s weather, we all bust sometimes. In 2015 qqomega, torch tiger, snowman19 would have been just as bad as I was in December.

Then let’s ban all the people who hyped up the December pattern too.

A busted forecast is not ban worthy, so there really isn’t any reason for either of us to be banned. Looks like that’s a no to taking me up on that bet, so I’ll call it off.

Euro is out to sea on the last run, but yeah that looked ugly on the euro for a few cycles. It made a massive shift at 0z.

It’s not the same type of storm yes, but the swfe/Miller B hybrid that this looks to be is another way we can get buried, a long duration firehose like March 2013. There were a couple of those in Feb 2015 I’m pretty sure too, one on the 2nd and one on the 8th-10th. We just need a bit more northern stream injection.

The models often lose it and bring it back for the big ones.

Im going to double down and make a bet. Over under is 16 for BOS. If BOS gets less than 16, I get banned for a month, and if BOS gets more, you get banned for a month. Btw, the offer to meet in person at the next gtg and settle our differences with our fists is still on the table.

It will come north.

If you are trying to imply it’s too late, that’s nonsense. Hell, I would argue that March is quite a bit more favorable for big snows than December. It’s really only the last week of March that is really unfavorable, where as December it’s really only the last week that’s favorable.

I like that 976 member

March 4th threat looks interesting on gfs and Canadian. I didn’t like what I saw from the Euro and EPS for that one at 12z, but it’s a good start to the 0z suite for that threat. Even though we had a couple bad Euro cycles for that one I still like that potential. It is very possible we get hit by both the 28th-1st and 4th.