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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. Looks the same as 12z, still struggling with the phantom low.
  2. The nam is frigid during the heaviest snows in eastern mass, 30 degrees right to the coast. If that’s right, the 10:1 maps may be underdone, not overdone.
  3. Stronger low on the nam at hour 27, 997mb vs 1000mb last run
  4. I don’t buy the dual low thing but we will see. The difference between your forecast and mine is just 1 or 2 degrees, that’s it. Tough forecast.
  5. I would go 10-15 in the 1-3 area (except the cape, there would be a sharp cutoff there due to low location), 16-24 in the 4-8 area, and 24-30 in the berkshires.
  6. Nam gets below freezing in interior areas and down to 33 for the coast, wouldn’t those areas below freezing see better than 10:1 ratios?
  7. The crazy thing is models could be underestimating the QPF by quite a bit despite giving many areas 2.5+ inches. With a 970s mb low stalling over the cape I think that will increase.
  8. The tv mets were forecasting 1-3 inches of snow for my area this evening
  9. Doesn’t look very east to me, the low is NW of the benchmark by a decent amount.
  10. Euro Canadian Ukie Navy Rgem and Nam all take the low over the cape
  11. Fuck it, I’m going to say it. That’s a monster blizzard!
  12. could the dual low thing be the models struggling with the transfer (Miller B redevelopment)? I think the models might consolidate and merge the 2 lows into one big low as we get closer to the storm.
  13. Yeah, this storm has a lot of potential. The airmass is bad but the low is deepening a lot so it can create its own cold air. Ultimately it comes down to low location.
  14. Looks like a similar snow distribution to last years blizzard. I hope it’s right
  15. I’m excited but I feel you on that. In the past I would have been hyping up a historic blizzard even the coast, but I’m skeptical of that this time.
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