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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. George001
    If we really get skunked after all guidance converging on a low over the cape 3 days out Im done tracking this winter and moving on to rooting for record heat.
  2. George001
    Doesn’t look great with the Euro insisting on the dual low but I’m not giving up. Low is too strong and the h5 looks really good.
  3. George001
    Looks the same as 12z, still struggling with the phantom low.
  4. George001
    Nam is below freezing during the height of the storm
  5. George001
    The nam is frigid during the heaviest snows in eastern mass, 30 degrees right to the coast. If that’s right, the 10:1 maps may be underdone, not overdone.
  6. George001
    Stronger low on the nam at hour 27, 997mb vs 1000mb last run
  7. George001
    I don’t buy the dual low thing but we will see. The difference between your forecast and mine is just 1 or 2 degrees, that’s it. Tough forecast.
  8. George001
    I would go 10-15 in the 1-3 area (except the cape, there would be a sharp cutoff there due to low location), 16-24 in the 4-8 area, and 24-30 in the berkshires.
  9. George001
    there will be one low.
  10. George001
    Enjoy your blizzard, it’s coming.
  11. George001
    Nam gets below freezing in interior areas and down to 33 for the coast, wouldn’t those areas below freezing see better than 10:1 ratios?
  12. George001
    Wow that’s a lot colder than the other guidance
  13. George001
    The crazy thing is models could be underestimating the QPF by quite a bit despite giving many areas 2.5+ inches. With a 970s mb low stalling over the cape I think that will increase.
  14. George001
    The tv mets were forecasting 1-3 inches of snow for my area this evening
  15. George001
    Doesn’t look very east to me, the low is NW of the benchmark by a decent amount.
  16. George001
    Euro Canadian Ukie Navy Rgem and Nam all take the low over the cape
  17. George001
    EURO IS A BURIAL
  18. George001
    Fuck it, I’m going to say it. That’s a monster blizzard!
  19. George001
    Great start to the 0z suite
  20. George001
    Yep, stronger low. 976mb over the elbow.
  21. George001
    could the dual low thing be the models struggling with the transfer (Miller B redevelopment)? I think the models might consolidate and merge the 2 lows into one big low as we get closer to the storm.
  22. George001
    Yeah, this storm has a lot of potential. The airmass is bad but the low is deepening a lot so it can create its own cold air. Ultimately it comes down to low location.
  23. George001
    Yeah unfortunately it doesn’t really have much support
  24. George001
    Looks like a similar snow distribution to last years blizzard. I hope it’s right
  25. George001
    Great change, east and stronger
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