Let’s not lose sight of the fact that today is the last day with normals of 83/64, tomorrow it goes back to 83/63 and begins the slow descent toward winter.
It was running even with or slightly ahead of AGC for most of the day, but AGC has since reached 91. Looks like the hourly obs at 2:51 was 89 so good chance we squeeze out another degree or two if we didn’t already at some point within the past hour.
Definitely an MCS that produced damage over a pretty significant distance. These are the SPC storm reports for yesterday, which I believe are mostly attributed to two separate MCS that tracked across different regions. I could see where that word would be used.
Would guess tomorrow and Saturday would be a struggle to get there but Sunday really looks hot on some models if clouds and rain don’t prevent us from maximizing potential.
Seems we have a solid shot at 90 on Wednesday and maybe a chance somewhere around Friday or the weekend, but this pattern looks warm and humid and perhaps rainy at times, but not a massive heat wave.
At first I thought maybe the HRRR badly underestimated cloud cover on those runs where it got us to 91 but that doesn’t seem to have been the case. Didn’t dive into the details of how it got us to 91 when it had us under cloud cover all day. That said, 80 if we’re lucky.
GFS is advertising the mid/upper 90s heat for next weekend the last few runs. Then again, this weekend is going to be a bust compared to what was forecast/modeled as recently as midweek. Going to be a lot of disgruntled casuals if they didn’t check the weather for a couple days and assumed this weekend would be summery.
Hopefully @Ahoff took the time to vote in this silly poll. I know it would irk him if some random upstater saw 10 90+ days, especially if we manage not to.
My thought on this would be that severe wind is much more common overall than severe hail or tornadoes, so it would stand to reason that the month with the most severe wind gusts would be the month with the most severe overall, and I could see that being July.
We’re getting pretty close to that “we really need rain” stage. Wouldn’t say it’s dire yet, but we could well be dry through the weekend if we miss out today. But I’ve really enjoyed not mowing, so maybe I shouldn’t be worried.
If I run the report on xmACIS, it’s one of the weakest records in July, though it shows as 88 in 2011 on there so I’m not sure where the 86 came from. Interesting that DUJ hit 87 today, PIT didn’t even hit 87.