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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Nice to start the day with a good thunderstorm or two.
  2. TimB
    https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt It does have that Celsius to Fahrenheit rounding thing on the 5-min obs, so you do have to be careful.
  3. TimB
    MDT’s highest 5-min reading was 64, so the high will almost certainly be 64 or 65.
  4. TimB
    Looks like it was 5/11/66. Today will take 3rd place there behind just that and 4/30/61.
  5. TimB
    Not far. DCA was 42.
  6. TimB
    That has to be close to a latest freeze for BWI.
  7. TimB
    I want to say the absolute minimum for PIT this past winter occurred between hourly obs that were a solid 6-7 degrees warmer.
  8. TimB
    It does look a little odd, doesn’t look like it coincides with clearing skies or calming winds (obs were clear with a puff of wind both before, during and after).
  9. TimB
    Here’s the 5 min obs from 5:56-6:56 https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt
  10. TimB
    Record low for tomorrow is 29, which looks like there’s a chance. Last year on the same date we set a record warm low of 66.
  11. TimB
    Next week seems to be trending ever so slightly more seasonal. I expect this afternoon’s 8-14 to be either normal or above for PA.
  12. TimB
    4th 80 of the month today. Last time we had 4 in April was 2009.
  13. TimB
    Thing is, when you’re getting close to record territory it’s not particularly difficult to get a rogue 80 even in a coolish pattern. That’s probably a single digit departure from normal in a week or so. But if your GFS map up there comes to fruition, doesn’t look like the 80s come next week.
  14. TimB
    Wow, I thought sure it would get there today. We got past 80 both days this weekend and tomorrow should be the 4th of the year to date.
  15. TimB
    Meanwhile, today is looking like our 16th day so far this April that has failed to reach 60 degrees.
  16. TimB
    Those 10th/90th percentile high temp graphics the NWS puts out on social media seem to indicate a lot of uncertainty, but with a hedge toward the warm side. For Pittsburgh, Saturday is 72-85 with a forecast of 81, Sunday is 75-87 with a forecast of 83.
  17. TimB
    0.7” at PIT makes it official: this won’t be merely an average snow season, it’ll be a slightly above average snow season.
  18. TimB
    Can’t speak for MDT, but all 31 days of May 2018 at PIT were above the normals in place at the time and the month finished at +8.9.
  19. TimB
    Truly glorious to see the snow stick to everything in the middle of the day this far into April.
  20. TimB
    If this actually happened I’d take 1.8” of snow in May no matter how much anyone else got. Would be our third 1” May event ever.
  21. TimB
    Have a feeling models like the HRRR with much more reasonable snow totals in the ridges and basically nothing in the metro area will win out. It’s late April and it’s really hard to get an inch or two of snow this late. This isn’t 4/21/21 with optimal timing and probably isn’t even 4/19/18. Probably more analogous to 4/7/17.
  22. TimB
    Seems the models that do give us Monday snow have it falling heavy for a few hours with great rates, but it’s all during the day and far too warm to stick.
  23. TimB
    Can’t see anything accumulating here in mid-afternoon with August equivalent sun angle and temps in the mid to upper 30s. Still a better chance in areas where the heaviest precip moves through after dark.
  24. TimB
    So like the CMC’s depiction of next weekend?
  25. TimB
    220 is bold, looks like 5/24 would be a record for latest first 80 at MDT.
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