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TimB

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  1. TimB
    I think his comments make sense. If we get 2-4” we finish the winter with a total in the 30s, while if we get nothing we can still finish the winter with a total in the 20s which gives him more of an avenue to complain about how horrible this winter was.
  2. TimB
    So basically the maps that were issued at 1:50 pm are based on 0z model runs?
  3. TimB
    It’s not the watch that is perplexing. It’s more the fact that the forecast snow map actually increased from 5.3” to 6.4” in Pittsburgh despite the fact that the models seem to have gone the other way in the time between the issuances of those two maps.
  4. TimB
    Maybe they’re including yesterday’s total in the 5-7?
  5. TimB
    5-7”? This is looking more and more like just a frontal passage for us.
  6. TimB
    Hopefully it’s just the NAM being stupid but we’ve heard this song before and we know how it ends.
  7. TimB
    HRRR looks progressive as hell. About 4”. NAM came back a tick NW. Not enough to put us in the bullseye but looks better than 6z.
  8. TimB
    NWS official forecast is up to 5.3” but that will surely go down if the models, especially the NAM, are onto something. The 6z was a complete disaster (if you can actually reasonably apply words like “disaster” to not getting much snow).
  9. TimB
    Won’t post the FV3 because it’s the FV3, but it’s weenie dream material.
  10. TimB
    NAM with a tick SE. Too close for comfort but still a big hit, and a monster storm to our south and east. RGEM looks a lot like the NAM with where the heavy stuff lines up but gives us more breathing room on the western fringe.
  11. TimB
    18z GFS held serve. Also gives an idea of just how cold we could get Sunday morning (7) if we can manage at least partial clearing with a snowpack. Haven’t been into the single digits so late in March since 1993. GEFS ensemble mean keeps going up too. 6.6” with 81% of members showing a 4” snowfall.
  12. TimB
    GFS scaled back a bit on Saturday but still showing about 7”, which is probably a more realistic expectation anyway.
  13. TimB
    Don’t worry. I’m kidding. It’s 1000x more fun to get these types of events without a headline than with one.
  14. TimB
    Just went out and measured about 3.75”. Where are all the “they should have issued an advisory” posts?
  15. TimB
    This is one of the most beautiful p-type busts I can remember.
  16. TimB
    NWS tweeted that they had 2.3” as of 9:30.
  17. TimB
    “Pretty good” is an understatement. That’s close to a foot of Kuchera, but as @Burghblizzmentioned, that track may not be realistic. But the NAM seems to make that storm cut a lot more than the other models do. It’s already much improved from its earlier runs.
  18. TimB
    Never forget:
  19. TimB
    Looks like a solid area of 30 to at times 40 dBZ returns moving through the metro now.
  20. TimB
    Moved to banter. I only have a throwaway account on there. I tried to look into it once, but all I found is the real KPIT’s Reddit. I get the impression that the troll was an impersonator who probably made over the top exaggerations of his complaints about winter.
  21. TimB
    He was trolling me, dingleberry. Maybe he’s the one trolling you on Reddit.
  22. TimB
    Yep, just like last summer wasn’t going to have any 90 degree days. We all talk out our ass every now and again. In reality, with this event overperforming and if we can bring Saturday home, that’s all we need to salvage a decent winter out of what has been a train wreck at times.
  23. TimB
    So it’s even sticking at KPIT’s house. This is a win.
  24. TimB
    Ah, I was using the NWS radar as a gauge. That’s a mistake lol.
  25. TimB
    Can’t see a ton more accumulation now that the heavy band has pivoted north, as rates decrease and the sun gets higher in the sky, but this is a great sneaky little event.
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