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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Especially weird that it would be two years in a row with 90s in June and none in July. Still, I think we get there a couple times.
  2. TimB
    I assume we’ll hit 90 at some point this month but it’d be funny if we didn’t.
  3. TimB
    As I see it, there are two possibilities for next week: either warm, humid, rainy and gross, or deathly hot but dry.
  4. TimB
    We’re getting pretty close to that “we really need rain” stage. Wouldn’t say it’s dire yet, but we could well be dry through the weekend if we miss out today. But I’ve really enjoyed not mowing, so maybe I shouldn’t be worried.
  5. TimB
    Indeed. Sad days in the Burgh, but the product on the field won’t be any better.
  6. TimB
    If I run the report on xmACIS, it’s one of the weakest records in July, though it shows as 88 in 2011 on there so I’m not sure where the 86 came from. Interesting that DUJ hit 87 today, PIT didn’t even hit 87.
  7. TimB
    Euro backed it off. We’ll see if it comes back.
  8. TimB
    Trend seems to be toward mostly garden variety heat, but I wouldn’t rule out a day or two of big heat (95+) mid to late next week if everything lines up right.
  9. TimB
    The 6z largely keeps the extreme, ridiculous heat out of the east. Verbatim, it would obliterate all-time records in a lot of cities in the middle of the country, by 5+ degrees in some places.
  10. TimB
    The panel from that run that really made an impression on me was the temps at 8am the morning of the second hot day. Yikes.
  11. TimB
    Looks like we’re going to finish June basically average for temps. We’re at +0.2 and today should be roughly normal with a low about a half dozen degrees BN and a high about a half dozen degrees AN, so should stay +0.2.
  12. TimB
    Was looking at records to see if we had a shot at a record low tomorrow morning. We don’t, but interesting to note that that the record low of 47 was set in 1988, along with a low of 46 just two days later. We know what came both before and after those chilly mornings.
  13. TimB
    Official high of 94 today. Let’s hope that stays the hottest day of the summer.
  14. TimB
    And indeed, the 1:30 obs was 91. 3rd 90 of the season.
  15. TimB
    Low at PIT was 46. Record tied.
  16. TimB
    Truly a gorgeous night out there, and a spectacular 3-4 day period ahead.
  17. TimB
    Indeed 74 was reached at 7:45. A few spectacular days ahead and the next climo thing to watch is Sunday morning’s record low of 46, and I think we could get close.
  18. TimB
    Going to be close but already 76 at PIT. Interesting that this thing was completely dry.
  19. TimB
    The very large hail threat is honestly the most concerning to me, as the SPC seems to want to center that on our area.
  20. TimB
    I think there’s quite a bit of question if our low of 74 holds through midnight, but if it does, it’d be only the second time since records started being kept at the airport that a low of 74 has been recorded this early in the season (6/8/08 had a low of 75).
  21. TimB
    This went ENH for our area with the latest SPC D2 outlook.
  22. TimB
    Yikes, that dewpoint at CMH is 82.
  23. TimB
    12z HRRR has us getting to 97 tomorrow but first of all, it’s the long range HRRR and second of all, everything else seems to have at least some rain/storms and 90 is indeed a struggle on some models.
  24. TimB
    Don’t get me wrong, the GFS and CMC also mix dewpoints into the comfortable range down there, but upper 50s, not near 40, and I think that’s probably more reasonable. Makes sense to me that temps would torch if humidity cratered like that under a massive ridge. I just don’t see it happening. Regardless, signs are definitely pointing to the ridge reloading next week, perhaps with a vengeance.
  25. TimB
    I have a hard time believing dew points will be in the low 40s in South Carolina in late June, especially while it’s muggy up here, which is what I would think allows those readings to be achieved.
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