Compare and contrast TWC with the shitty new Apple weather app. One is very obviously leaning on the GFS and the other is very obviously leaning on the cutter/Arctic front solutions.
I’m starting to get the impression that it’s going to be, at best, kinda cold and kinda snowy for a brief period. Probably won’t be particularly memorable 5 years from now in extent or duration of cold or snow.
For the most part, I can live with that Euro run. It’s a path to victory. It shows that we can get the cold air to pour into the US somewhere and work out the details of when and where later.
Verbatim, the GFS gives us enough snow on the back end of that storm to have a kinda white Christmas. CMC has a monster of a snowstorm in the same timeframe.
Seems even d6-10 might be trending closer to normal temps, at least with the models that ran overnight, and the push of Arctic air might be closer to Christmas. We’ll see what 12z brings.
Would think if a major Arctic invasion were to actually occur, and it seems to pop up on a number of model runs, it would be ushered in with a small amount of snow. That seems to be fairly typical. Seems like the timing of that would coincide pretty well with Christmas if it did happen.
Look up 1983. I’d take something like that. Long and short of it is this happened with no more than 1” on the ground on the front end of the Arctic blast.
Even in Christmas week, which is allegedly our better shot, the ensembles look like this. Don’t shoot the messenger.
Even if this is delayed but not denied, our window is looking shorter and shorter. But that’s just December in the modern era.