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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I’ve always been of the opinion that we don’t need two Dakotas, but lately I’ve been of the opinion that we don’t even need one Dakota.
  2. I’m not an infectious disease specialist, but I would think the mortality rate for covid among “extremely healthy” people is greater than 1 in 6.8 million, which seems to be the mortality rate for the J&J vaccine (at least with respect to blood clots).
  3. Is there a generally accepted meteorological definition for the dates that the “cold season” spans?
  4. Though it does sound like the Pfizer is close to full approval and they are now seeking approval for 12-15 year olds. (This is good news for the “we need schools open as soon as humanly possible” crowd.)
  5. Bad news indeed when a vaccine can be pulled because 0.0000009% of people had a side effect that, from what I can tell, didn’t kill them (I would assume if they died it would be in the article).
  6. I know it’s just an example, but imagine how well that would go over with the segment of the population that disparages Bill Nye for not being a “real scientist” but has no problem with Dr. Phil, Dr. Oz, or Dr. Seuss.
  7. Take it easy on dta, maybe the past seven presidents of the United States have consulted him on infectious disease too.
  8. I don’t think it’s a disservice to observers of the past to say that weather data was probably of much less importance to society than it is now. That’s not the observers’ fault.
  9. His MD from Cornell and many decades of experience as an infectious disease specialist and as an advisor to seven different presidents (including four republicans) speak for themselves.
  10. I think there are two possible ways to look at that (and I’m honestly not sure which is correct): 1. the El Niño of 1998 itself caused a longer-term shift in climate patterns. or 2. the El Niño of 1998 was the catalyst that gave anthropogenic climate change the push it needed to accelerate.
  11. Where did I say he has to be right? But his opinion should be respected, and I would say it does prove he knows more about infectious disease than the people calling him a “clown” on a weather forum. But what do I know?
  12. It’s really hard to take an argument, or the person presenting it, seriously when one refers to a guy with an MD from an Ivy League university as a “clown.”
  13. That will still be countered with gerrymandering and laws (that would have been unconstitutional with any Supreme Court but the current one) designed to make sure fewer people vote. Georgia is writing the playbook that Texas, Florida, and NC will use.
  14. So when it comes down to that, spring and fall are warmer than they’ve ever been, summer is warmer than it’s been in over 160 years, winter is almost as warm as it’s ever been, and the annual average is warmer than its ever been.
  15. One could say using 90 years of data when we have 140 seems as arbitrary as using 10 years of data when we have 140. On the flip side, I can’t be the only one who thinks weather records from the 1800s are suspect due to technology or procedures or both. So it might be fair to look at 90 years. If we do that for Pittsburgh (my location), I typically only compare apples to apples and use data from 1948-present (when observations began being taken at the airport). And, considering only data from those 73 years, I think I determined that 8 of the 12 months of the year recorded their hottest average temperature on record within the past decade.
  16. Pittsburgh is +6.3, and that includes near-record cold the first two days of the month. The upcoming pattern should moderate things a little, but it still looks like a few degrees either side of average for the most part, so you’re still looking at a positive anomaly unless we average well below normal the rest of the way. Should be our 10th above normal month out of the past 11, and that’s not long after an 18 month streak of above average from February 2016 to July 2017.
  17. How naive of me to forget that the human race is comprised mostly of s***heads whose main objective in life is to s*** on other people every chance they get.
  18. But in all seriousness, I guess it’s not all that far-fetched that situations like that could happen in the United States. Based on everything that has happened throughout history, if something can be used to discriminate against people, it probably will.
  19. This is very wrong and a big problem. But I disagree that it’s “the inevitable consequence of vaccine passports.” That’s an extremist viewpoint from an extremist individual who sensationalizes for clicks and views. Look her up.
  20. That’s where I would be alarmed. Outside of the cold season, highs, lows, everything has made a steady climb of anywhere from 3-5 degrees for the most part. UHI affects lows more than highs, and DTW is nearly 20 miles from downtown, yet the daily highs in July and August have increased by about 5 degrees over the last century. I thought for a minute that my use of the word “catastrophic” was extremist, but now that I see the data, I stand by my use of that word, because the data affirms it.
  21. Where’s the personal bacteria farm guy? He might have something to say.
  22. Absolutely. And I have a feeling that even if a bunch of young, educated liberals flock to cities in the South, it won’t automatically flip the 67 electoral votes and congressional seats in TX/FL, it’ll just result in more gerrymandering and legislation designed to reduce turnout.
  23. The general public might appreciate warmer mins in January, but the general public (especially those that tragically lose a loved one) won’t appreciate a heat wave of the magnitude of what happened in Europe in 2019, and I won’t back down from my belief that it’s mostly luck that it hasn’t happened here.
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