TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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I’d post the corresponding DP map, but beggars can’t be choosers and optimism is better.
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It’s looking like there may be some hope here. Not for a nice string of windows open nights, but for days that “only” get into the mid 80s by the weekend.
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Some 40 degree gradient between Pillow and Short Pump.
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Sometimes you need a GFS clown map to get through Monday morning of a hot week:
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“Joe Bastardi said so!”
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No, actually it was weather. She was insisting that Henri would be a non-event, while he thought it would blast New England as a major hurricane.
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Other dude looks like he got knocked the F out. Guilty by association?
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The experience seems to be, we often underperform when forecast to hit 90 or 91, and overperform when forecast to hit 78 or 79. So that tells you everything you need to know. Getting to 90+ 5 days in a row here is hard, even in the middle of July.
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Yeah, I don’t think 5 days in a row of 93+ is in the cards at MDT. It becomes a more interesting case for me, as the average high here is 81, which would mean a high of 90 Tues-Sat. I don’t think that’s out of the question.
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Does JB use the antiquated “three days of 90 degrees or above” definition of a heatwave, or the official WMO definition? If it’s the former, then it’s well within the realm of possibility.
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Yeah, this “back end of August will be hot” prediction will unfortunately be true. Unfortunate because I don’t want heat, but also unfortunate because as I recall, it came from Joe Bastardi and that means he’ll be right on something.
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At your service. Ocala, October 2006:
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I remember that being an incredibly cold month in Madison, WI (where I was at the time). Data backs that up. Could see how one of those arctic fronts could blast into Florida.
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Wait, hold up a minute. It snowed in Ocala, Florida in October?!
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I can even deal with that, given that it’ll still be well into the 80s there in October, so it’ll never really feel like Halloween.
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That’s a little different from having Halloween decorations in my house on September 2nd. (She does wait a little longer on the outside ones.)
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Might help keep my wife from putting up Halloween decorations ridiculously early.
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Yeah, that GFS run looked better.
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Yeah, but take that with a grain of salt. That model is known for doing that.
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Not saying I’m buying what the 3k NAM is selling, but that is a monster.
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That might be a bridge too far. Haskins is 100% my guy in 2021 if Ben gets hurt. Mason Rudolph is a high floor, low ceiling quarterback. Neither is the permanent solution IMO.
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Just like winter, when the models start to go sour you have to pretend you’re not seeing it. Until it shows up on several runs, and several models. Could this be the start of that?
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Hidden messages in any of my posts? Never!
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(But also, it could be argued that climate change would make weather more uncertain, at least in the short run.)
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No, that was actually a comment on science and technology advancing. But I fully enjoy that interpretation.
