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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    “Satisfy” is an understatement. That storm was incredible, IMO. A switch has been flipped. After a slow start to spring thunderstorms, June and July have been solid.
  2. TimB
    But does it bother you when MDT records 2” of snow and you get 6”?
  3. TimB
    I understand the fine people of Smethport refer to such events as a light sprinkle.
  4. TimB
    I wouldn’t have expected it to be a massive difference, just on those days when it’s marginal for convective temps to be breached, so statistically significant is good enough for me. I wouldn’t be shocked if it had an even smaller, but still there, effect on precip totals downstream (in areas generally slightly E/NE of cities) if storms are able to form in the slightly warmer environment of cities and then move out of those areas.
  5. TimB
    But isn’t Pillow the unofficial official site for Dauphin County now?
  6. TimB
    Sampled a few weather stations out there, they seem to be running either just behind or just ahead of PIT’s normal month to date, mostly due to overperforming relatively on 7/1.
  7. TimB
    I got a couple of torrential downpours back to back Sunday afternoon that put down over an inch of rain, then more rain last evening and early this morning that put down another inch or so. PIT airport got 0.39” on Sunday and 0.17” this morning, so that’s why I’m in the red and they’re in the yellow. I would guess UHI has some effect on thunderstorms, given that warmer temperatures create more instability, but that’s a conjecture and I’ve never looked at the science.
  8. TimB
    Sounds like a wide gap between the haves and the have nots in a small area from what I’ve read on here.
  9. TimB
    Yinzerland stands in solidarity with you on this one. Best overnight storm in recent memory out here.
  10. TimB
    @Bubbler86 overnight model runs looked on the dry side but seem to keep the big heat at bay. GFS range now goes to 7/29 so let’s hope we can lock this in.
  11. TimB
    That 3:45 storm meant business. Never lost power here but there were quite a few lightning strikes very close to my house and near constant lightning for awhile. My dog is normally unfazed by thunderstorms but this one had him nervous. All in all, one of the better overnight thunderstorms in recent memory.
  12. TimB
    Science-adjacent, at the very least.
  13. TimB
    Man, after a slow start there sure have been a lot of severe risk days both there and out my way.
  14. TimB
    Looks like the SPC slight risk extends west into Perry/ Snyder/ Cumberland/ Juniata counties, but I would imagine torrential rain is more likely than severe wind. Discussion from the SPC says 60% chance of watch issuance for S/E half of PA.
  15. TimB
    Probably not tornadic with this setup but possibly severe. Flooding isn’t SPC’s domain.
  16. TimB
    Ironic given that he likes snow. I suppose if you’re a Euro apologist you’re always pleasantly surprised when it does snow.
  17. TimB
    No matter what happens with the GFS, we’ll be able to see August on it by the end of the week!
  18. TimB
    I’ll take that over anything the GooFuS wants to show us.
  19. TimB
    It hasn’t even shown up on back to back runs yet, let alone within 10 days.
  20. TimB
    Looks like it might go zonal before it gets too, too brutal.
  21. TimB
    Took a brief look. Oh God, the 100inistas get more digital fantasyland excitement.
  22. TimB
    Work has gotten in the way of me watching it like a hawk. I’ll have to wait until later and look at all the 12z models at once.
  23. TimB
    The SFA robbery was actually in 2016. UW went on to lose to that Notre Dame team in the Sweet 16. But I agree that a game against UW would have been winnable for SFA. Seems we all have our reasons for hating Notre Dame.
  24. TimB
    As a Wisconsin alum, 2015 still hurts. Probably the only real shot I had of seeing a national title, but the four year players got run over by a bunch of one and done kids from Duke. Hope the Suns win so Frank Kaminsky can get a ring, even if not as a Badger.
  25. TimB
    Exactly, there is much, much more parity in college basketball than there is in international basketball.
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