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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Any rain in Pillow?
  2. TimB
    This is nasty. I can see where there’d be flooding issues in areas where it’s sat for a long time. Also, daily climate report does confirm 90 was reached. I believe that’s #5 for the summer.
  3. TimB
    Knocking on the door of 90. The 25th was our hottest day of August last year as well.
  4. TimB
    Beat me to it. Love it!
  5. TimB
    Think it was a 4 day stretch last year with a 38, a 39, and 2 40’s. I looked at it the other day.
  6. TimB
    I feel like I did the research on 9/23/1989 at PIT and concluded that the T we recorded on that day was likely real. So the bar is higher for me.
  7. TimB
    An interesting point. In theory, a T would be enough for that to happen. Problem is, to get the +8 departure, the part of the month where a T is even conceivable would have to be hot.
  8. TimB
    I can tell you one thing. It won’t be below normal!
  9. TimB
    I think it’s good stuff, personally. But I feel like it might be much like debating whether September will be above, at, or below normal snowfall.
  10. TimB
    We probably shouldn’t be debating something that will almost certainly not happen anyway. Not sure about MDT, but there is exactly ONE September here that achieved a +8 departure (+12.4 to be exact), and it’s probably the most suspect weather record I’ve ever seen. I will never believe that September 1881 had the same average temperature as July 2020 here.
  11. TimB
    Your point is a good one, though I calculated the number needed from 9/8 to 9/30 in your scenario to be about +14: +8*30 = 240 -12*7 = -84 240 + 84 = 324 324 / 23 = ~14 Still extremely hard to do over a 23 day span.
  12. TimB
    Correct. 10 of the remaining days were +15 or more, and 3 were +25 or more. Pretty sure a +25 departure on just about any September day is basically impossible. That would be 107/88 on the 1st and 97/78 on the 30th at MDT.
  13. TimB
    What if I told you this was the first half of a February at PIT that ended up at +7.7?
  14. TimB
    So +8 on the late September low would be 61. Not exactly sweltering or far-fetched.
  15. TimB
    It’s not impossible. May 2018 was +8.9 at PIT relative to the old normals and looked like this: I would say if PIT can do it in May, MDT can do it in September. (Note that all 31 days were above normal.)
  16. TimB
    Going +8 on normals that increased by over a degree with the recent update would be a real feat.
  17. TimB
    And that’s saying something. On another note: Even not being an O’s fan, I’m confident that I know exactly what it’s like to be one.
  18. TimB
    It’s the only thing about Florida that can be safely discussed in this forum right now.
  19. TimB
    I would take a string of dry days with highs in the 60s/70s here over any digital snow at some other location, even if it’s 10 feet in Florida.
  20. TimB
    0z GFS Kuch snow map (look how close it is to the states):
  21. TimB
    That was once in a lifetime stuff. Can’t believe I forgot about it until now.
  22. TimB
    I’d feel a little guilty if something like that map I just posted actually plays out. Memorial Day weekend...front end of the 4th of July weekend...Labor Day weekend...
  23. TimB
    I’d take anything within 15 degrees of that.
  24. TimB
    But then again, there’s some incredible stuff on the 18z GFS. Most notably this: Note that this is NOT rain induced. DPs in the low to mid 40s, and some chilly nights on either side (MDT hits 48 the following morning).
  25. TimB
    It’s probably too early to write off September, even if the first week proves to be above normal. It’s just a sore spot for me, it was once one of the better weather months of the year but now it’s just an extension of summer many years.
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