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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Looks like PIT was able to sneak in its first measurable snowfall yesterday (0.3”).
  2. TimB
    If there’s even a peek of sunshine in the clouds, even if it’s Christmas and it’s 25 degrees, you can forget about any accumulation hanging around.
  3. TimB
    I don’t know if we can blame sun angle a little over a month from the solstice.
  4. TimB
    Probably not a disaster when they weren’t really forecasting much accumulation anyway. Would guess the airport got its 0.3” between 4 and 5 when the temperature hovered between 32-33 and it was still snowing.
  5. TimB
    Think they got a little overzealous. They were carrying a rain forecast for Sunday afternoon a few days out, then backed it to rain/snow. But with their AM update yesterday, they went all snow. When rates were good here, it fell as mostly snow, but that wasn’t the case in the city. It looks like there’s actually a 0.3 on the books for PIT. If I kept records, I’d be recording a T imby.
  6. TimB
    It was always going to be a marginal event for p-type, and no one in their right mind was expecting any daytime accumulations, but the NWS made the decision to suddenly go with all snow in the grids for most of Allegheny County this morning after carrying a rain/snow mix in all of its prior forecast packages. That was a bold move and I’d say it busted.
  7. TimB
    There were periods of all snow in the ‘burbs, but plenty of rain mixed in here too.
  8. TimB
    And the NWS rolled with an all snow forecast in the grids for Allegheny County as late as their late morning update.
  9. TimB
    Starting as mostly rain. NWS switching p-type to all snow looking like a bad call so far.
  10. TimB
    I get the impression that this should be a mostly snow event, but the main area of snow is still out in Ohio and should arrive sometime during the game.
  11. TimB
    I’m of the understanding that it did not snow downtown this morning either.
  12. TimB
    Elevation/UHI are significant between downtown and just about anywhere else here. It snowed for a couple hours here, 5 miles or so as the crow flies from downtown. No accumulation.
  13. TimB
    We’ve already exceeded my pessimistic 4-13 prediction.
  14. TimB
    Even if they get through next week and get to 6-3, the back end of the schedule goes: at Chargers at Bengals Ravens at Vikings Titans at Chiefs Browns at Ravens I think they probably beat the Vikings and win maybe 2 of the other 7 games to get to 9-8.
  15. TimB
    The game last night didn’t inspire much confidence that Sunday won’t be a Tomlin special.
  16. TimB
    I’m more referencing the MA discussion. Just went in and looked at it, so pessimistic as always.
  17. TimB
    I would think there’s more evidence towards “this winter is going to suck” vs. “this winter is going to be great”, but really it’s too early to call even at this juncture.
  18. TimB
    Think it’s almost a guarantee you’ll see your first flakes this year in the Burgh.
  19. TimB
    37-40, rain/snow showers. Less than pleasant.
  20. TimB
    *except when it comes to making a run at 100. Then it’s the Death Valley of Dauphin County.
  21. TimB
    Cherry picked, but first flakes seem pretty likely and who knows, maybe we can squeeze out a minor accumulation.
  22. TimB
    EC with the transient cool shot next weekend then ridging returns with a vengeance:
  23. TimB
    The 1879 one was 5 days from 11/1-11/5, but we could tie 1966 for 2nd.
  24. TimB
    Earliest date with 4 consecutive lows in the 20s: 1. 10/26-29/1976 (4 days) 2. 11/1-5/1879 (5 days) 3. 11/1-4/1954 (4 days) T-4. 11/3-6/2021 (4 days), 11/3-6/1951 (4 days), 11/3-6/1991 (4 days), 11/3-7/1966 (5 days) This is rarer than I would have thought.
  25. TimB
    Maybe. 18z trended colder.
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