TimB

By the end of the run, the eastern edge of another big ridge is on my doorstep.

The initial push from warm to more seasonable comes earlier, but I don’t see any indications of a BN look in that timeframe.

Frontal passage looks faster/weaker/drier, no back-end snow and an average to slightly above Saturday.

DPs soar into the 60ish range too.

Yeah, only about a 10 degree increase at MDT as compared to the prior run but honestly, the map I posted earlier probably got extreme southwest PA close to 70 anyway.

Thursday warmth also shifted about 200 miles further north on this EC run.

Several days into November and 20% of the state is still at peak color. That can’t be good.

This suppressed warm front idea has traction.

EC keeps PA on the good side of a warm front Thursday:

Sounds about right for Tomlin/Ben against a bad team.

What’s the general consensus here? Early week warmup ->weak cold frontal passage ->late week warmup -> decisive cold frontal passage?

Might aid us in recording our first double digit negative departure since 6/23 (but only if we get no higher than 48 this afternoon).

I think we only have Kuch on the EC when they’re having problems. I don’t recall having it last winter.

Nothing massive. Several inches at 10:1 so I’m sure less Kuch since temps are marginal. Less than an inch at PIT and probably nothing that sticks.

Other caveat I’ll add here is the Euro brings mountain snow on the back edge of that front. As of now it’s looking like Saturday.

I mean, you’d have to be insane to be trying to grow anything sensitive into November, but I do know what you mean. That said, the 29 appears to be exactly on schedule for first 20s at PIT (Nov. 3 is the average date).

God, I hope not. But Michael Vick did.

Quoting this in the fall thread: No, the NWS posted yesterday that the growing season is over and they will no longer be issuing them this year.

I think I’d quit following weather for good if anything like this came to fruition in mid-November:

I feel fairly safe in believing next week will be warmer than this week. The question is, by how much?

This GFS run didn’t show it as much, but the previous couple runs hinted at back to the same old pattern we had in October.

This pattern looks dry as all get out. Wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see a drop/flake of anything this week. Some wasted BN days.

King CMC suggests some spots get into the teens later this week. I’ll believe it when I see it.

PIT had a -1 and a -3 in there and a few days that rounded to 0.

Thing is Tomlin has a 39 year old out of shape QB and no offensive line to work with. That said, the fake FG call was one of the worst coaching decisions I’ve ever seen made, regardless of whether or not the hit on Boswell was dirty. Tomlin coaches conservatively all season long until we get a 4th and 9 in chip shot field goal range and calls a fake that fails miserably. I will say this: if Tomlin somehow gets this team to the playoffs and wins even one game while he’s there, he should be coach of the year hands down.