If we are looking for where an eye would be I think I found it, the lightning on the band would be the eyewall trying to wrap around. Seems like it’s just a matter of time before an eye forms.
Ok makes sense but what about air pressure? That happens on a large enough scale where I would assume it has some effect, maybe if a fault is already about to go off in a year or two but a sudden change in air pressure happens it can cause that release to happen soon after the change in air pressure.
I have read a book that had a section on this years ago can't remember it but it shows that this has happened in different places before. I think the book said how maybe the large amount of rain and flooding can put stress on faults leading to a slightly higher chance of earthquakes.
After looking at several posts about where the true center is I thought I would try to define where it is. In the green I think is where the true center is with the latest convection blowup, I think this because in the blue we can see where the banding spirals out of meaning the center would be where the green circle is. This is only a guess due to the "junk convection" in orange which obscures where the true center is exactly.
The convection is still going strong with a nice sustained core of pink/white on Ir sat. Looks good on visible with outflow and such, will be good to get some real observations when it gets to the leeward islands. Would not be surprised if it gets there in its current state to be stronger than advised.
Wow storm popped right next to me and was right over me worst lightning I can remember so many close cloud to ground strikes, one hit in my neighborhood. Then the rain started and it looked to be a normal storm until the trees making up the tree line gusted then bam heavy rain wind and hail. Rain came down in sheets while it hailed (pea size maybe a bit bigger) and wind whipped the trees. Got .70 inches of rain in 20 minutes
I retract my complaints, really windy started to hail worse thunder and lightning I remember cloud to ground strike in our neighborhood and rain coming down in sheets. Sticks down all over the place.
Where even is the center, does it even still have one? It has convection but where is the center did it transfer to the main convection blowup south of Cuba, is it along the coast of Florida or something else?