After staring at this because we are not doing anything in school I have to say that there is definitely a closed low level circulation and pretty far north. Wonder if we are already looking at a tropical storm. Looks to be a bad scenario shaping up.
HWRF shows a cat 5 landfall on the gulf coast by 99l of course it is the HWRF but the GFS also shows a major land falling by the end of August. Something to watch
Don't worry all we need is the gulf stream to reverse, sure farming across the Eastern US and Europe would be extremely difficult but I think its worth that sacrifice.
What I was thinking when satellite came out this morning, it look as if the convection was nearly entirely out of the convection. So it might be good to slow the hype train for a bit.
Going to be a shock for sure, they probably think at worse it might be a nor'easter which wont end well if this storm sticks to the high end of intensity guidance.
That would be a super impactful track, New York would probably have lots of flooding concerns and some wind ones too. Like I said yesterday not time to panic yet though.
Almost all of the strong ones are a hit, if I lived from New York to Bostin I would be concerned but its not time to panic yet still plenty of time for the track to shift.