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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Do you think our next storm chance is going to be middle of next week? That should be about the time the energy that messes up the Sunday storm is ready to cross the U.S, or does that have no real chance?
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Euro does not even develop a storm at all, just some showery weather off the coast of South Carolina.
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Like I have said it is mainly personal preference on my end to start a new thread at the beginning of the month. Not to mention that that analogy does not make a ton of sense, comparing years that have happened a decade ago to a month that has just ended is sort of disingenuous. For the year one might have actual confusion, seeing as it happened years ago, but everyone understands the month threads because the month either just ended or is ongoing.
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I understand what he means and why it makes sense, but I just don't like it. Like I have said I think a new thread for a new month is just cleaner.
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I don't know I just find it to be cleaner making a new thread for the new month, almost like a fresh start or something.
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My main issue is when a long range thread for the month of February and then it has over 140 replies by February, it just seems cleaner to have a thread for each month and then start a new one on the 1st of the next month.
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Thank you for the new thread, for this month could we stick to just this thread for long range instead of someone making a March/end of February one that is nearly unusable by March.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think the Euro folded more the GFS than the gfs folded to the Euro for this storm.- 4,130 replies
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Very foggy outside right now
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Even without significant precip with cold temps we would still most likely see a flash freeze on most wet surfaces due to the crashing temperatures. Looks to be disruptive with or without precip.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
You did lead the way with the Friday event so far, so you don't want to ruin your current track record which means that this Sunday threat must be credible.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro kneels to the king but does not collapse, lets hope it fully pays service to the GFS for the Sunday storm- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC is slightly slower with the cold push- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Holy crap, look at those rates- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I like the weekend storm on the GFS- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Really reduces the QDF with the second push of precip, which is probably the main issue.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
The FV3 looks pretty similar with the cold push at hour 60 to the GFS, unfortunately it is the FV3- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Slightly better than 6z in multiple respects, gets the cold here a tiny bit quicker and the moisture stays a bit longer giving us a slight period of frozen precip at the end.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
A lot out news outlets have been advertising a warm up to the 50s and 60s later this week, if the NAM is right that forecast would look quite bad- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
NAM 3k is lock step with the gfs at the end of its run- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well if you are, could we get a pbp?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
This storm definitely is a good test for the new GFS, seeing it go up against the other globals and even have two runs back to back with an significant ice storm while the others show nothing definitely puts it at odds with the majority for now. So I guess we will see if the GFS is sniffing out a trend or just sniffing glue.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Only 8 have rain instead of frozen, pretty decent odds on the gefs.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS has another storm right after- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Tends to happen, it has me get .6 inches of ice in 6 hours during the heavy precip which seems wrong, so that amount should not really be counted. After the precip becomes lighter and the temps drop is the more concerning period for me, and gives me around .3 to .4 more ice. So even discounting the heavy ice in the 30s it would still be quite the event.- 4,130 replies
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