SnowenOutThere

Just need it a bit more north, west and amped.

Thanks for the post and like the look of 11. Would be difficult to get a good storm but it’s ten days out so anything can happen

Could you post them?

Low of 29 somehow (might want to look into getting a better weather station) but super frosty on all grass, cars and roofs so might be correct.

pray

Saw this post and wanted to provide a link https://www.canaanresort.com/resort/webcams/

While I am not old enough to vote I urge anyone in Virginia to vote, democrat or republican.

BWI: 23.4 DCA: 17.1 IAD: 29.3 RIC: 13.2 SBY: 16.4 I think there would be a pretty hard gradient this year both to the north and to the west of DC this year but also a costal that just misses DC to the East giving the Eastern shore a good storm. I also think there might be to potential for a decent storm if we luck out and our area is due so might as well wishcast too. Then for RIC there will probably be a suppressed storm or two.

We need it just a bit more amplified and north.

Before I make my guess, since this is my first year what does SBY mean? I understand BWI as Baltimore, DCA as DC, IAD as Dulles and RIC as Richmond but not SBY.

Send us some pictures of the flooding

Eh, who cares if you are.

Don’t worry the fake south trend will start soon and then someone will scream suppression before it trends north again within 48 hours.

Yeah I was here last February, that one stupid storm got pulled out from us within 8 hours (yay sleetfest). I am guilty of whining about snow when we get screwed over, and it only irritates me when when people are saying a winter is over before it starts. I guess it also irritates me because I know that it might be and don’t really want to admit that we might have a 2019-2020 redux. It also makes me upset because it comes down to such small things when there is a storm that makes it impossible to predict 3 day out let alone 3 months.

Yeah but I guess it just irritates me that people act like winter is already dead in October, I understand it probably won't be a good year but it's not dead yet.

Yeah I've noticed but people are already acting like this winter is DOA just because it is most likely not going to be a great winter doesn't mean there is no hope/we can't do decent.

Joined right before last winter's Jan/Feb storm

9/30 have some snowfall in the DC suburbs. Or a 30 percent chance.

Jeez you people are acting like winter is already over. It’s not, specific short range climate is difficult to predict. Does it look good? Not really but don’t see the need for all the doom and gloom. We can just get a fluke storm pretty much no matter the larger scale factors even if the large scale does go to crap.

Latest GFS says there is still hope for the Nov 6th storm

Yeah Im just going for whatever is even on the realm of possibility, doesn't have to have any historical analog but just needs to be technically possible which is why I went up to 70 inches of snow. Sure its never happened before but I think if everything came together perfectly it might possible. I am almost in this thread going for what could be the best possible storm however unlikely for our area and wanted to hear from people who are far smarter than me at meteorology.

Thinking that it would most likely be a storm with a direct access to a tropical moisture source or even a decaying hurricane running into a cold air block caused by a high over Canada that would stall out near Atlantic City. It would stall due to a strong high over the Northeast preventing it escaping. Due to the stall it would just sit there for a week feeding off the tropical moisture access shoveling the moisture over the region causing heavy snow for several days. Don't know the max possible with a storm but if banding sets up right probably plus 70 inches of snow.

Just something fun to think about for our region while we wait for winter to start. Anything goes the question is : what is the largest snowstorm (snowfall wise) that this area could see focusing on the 1-95 area. Anything is allowed as long as it is remotely possible, could be a thousand year or even ten thousand year but as long as there is a chance it could happen. In other words just a fun thought experiment

When does the snowfall contest start up? Joined this Jan and wondering when it starts.

I have a question. What would be an A grade from you? Also calling that the season is dead every season all season means by random chance you will be right at some point and the super casters got a lot less wrong.